The model rates their attack at 0.82× the league average and their defence at 1.30× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they travel to Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 27%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Cyprus vs Montenegro
Cyprus travel to Montenegro on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 27% Cyprus, 27% draw and 46% Montenegro, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.13 expected goals for Cyprus against 1.86. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Full preview and model analysis for Cyprus vs Montenegro