The model rates their attack at 0.66× the league average and their defence at 1.47× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they host Latvia in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Armenia vs Latvia
Armenia host Latvia on 25 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 35% Armenia, 32% draw and 33% Latvia, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.11 expected goals for Armenia against 1.03. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
Full preview and model analysis for Armenia vs Latvia