CSKA Sofia
vs
Dunav Ruse
The model makes it 58% CSKA Sofia, 25% draw, 17% Dunav Ruse — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (14%).
Expected goals: CSKA Sofia 1.67, Dunav Ruse 0.78.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
- 31 January 2026CSKA Sofia 3–1 Dunav RuseFriendlies Clubs
- 14 December 2019CSKA Sofia 4–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 25 August 2019Dunav Ruse 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 24 November 2018Dunav Ruse 0–2 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 5 August 2018CSKA Sofia 3–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CSKA Sofia the highest probability at 58%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.67 expected goals for CSKA Sofia against 0.78 for Dunav Ruse. CSKA Sofia's attack/defence rating is 0.39/1.33 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/2.26 for Dunav Ruse.