2 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi
Full time2 – 0

Final score: IFK Goteborg 2-0 Degerfors IF.

Before kick-off the model made it 75% IFK Goteborg, 15% draw, 10% Degerfors IF — fair odds of 1.33, 6.67 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IFK Goteborg at 75% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IFK Goteborg97%Draw3%Degerfors IF0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
G. Yiriyon
⚽S. Larsson (pen)
25'
A. Erlingmark
41'
K. Thordarson
60'
🔁K. Thordarsonout: F. Ottosson
64'
🔁S. Alioumout: T. Coimbra
64'
70'
🔁S. Diataraout: D. Vukojevic
78'
🔁G. Yiriyonout: A. Taranis
78'
🔁A. Faqaout: S. Ohlsson
🔁S. Clemmensenout: A. Boren
81'
🔁A. Bergmark-Wibergout: I. Seidu
81'
88'
B. Hussein
⚽F. Ottosson
90'

Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF

52%Possession48%
20Shots11
6On target4
8Corners7

Line-ups

IFK Goteborg 4-2-3-1
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 4R. YeboahD
  • 3A. ErlingmarkD
  • 22N. TolfD
  • 23K. Thordarson
  • 8S. LarssonM
  • 7S. ClemmensenM
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 29A. Bergmark-WibergM
  • 11S. AlioumF
Substitutes
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 27A. BorenF
  • 17A. JallowD
  • 16F. OttossonM
  • 30T. CoimbraF
  • 28I. SeiduD
Coach: Joachim Bjorklund
Degerfors IF 4-3-3
  • 38M. IgonenG
  • 13G. YiriyonD
  • 2A. FaqaD
  • 3N. SkusethD
  • 18S. DiataraD
  • 22N. GirmaiM
  • 8B. HusseinM
  • 20E. BarsoumM
  • 14L. FritzsonF
  • 23R. DzabicF
  • 4K. KarlssonF
Substitutes
  • 1W. JakobssonG
  • 15N. MoroD
  • 17A. TaranisF
  • 19A. LindgrenM
  • 7S. OhlssonD
  • 11D. VukojevicF
  • 28J. HernandezD
  • 24O. LeonardssonF
  • 21A. BerissonF
Coach: Henok Goitom

Form going into IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF

IFK Goteborg

  • W3-1away to FC Levadia Tallinn30 July 2026
  • L1-4away to Sirius26 July 2026
  • L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn21 July 2026
  • W2-1IF Brommapojkarna17 July 2026

Degerfors IF

  • L0-1Djurgardens IF25 July 2026
  • L0-4away to Hammarby FF19 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9IFK Goteborg218583041-1129
14Degerfors IF2154121933-1419

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF

  • 2 August 2026IFK Goteborg 2–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
  • 8 March 2026IFK Goteborg 3–1 Degerfors IFSvenska Cupen
  • 4 August 2025IFK Goteborg 3–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
  • 19 May 2025Degerfors IF 1–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 19 August 2023Degerfors IF 1–2 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 4 May 2023IFK Goteborg 6–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and Degerfors IF

IFK Goteborg

  • S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
  • T. Heintz6 goals5 assists

Degerfors IF

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.