Liga MX · Apertura - 3 · 2 August 2026, 23:00 UTC

Club America vs Santos Laguna

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

The model makes it 59% Club America, 20% draw, 21% Santos Laguna — fair odds of 1.69, 5.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: Club America 2.35, Santos Laguna 1.37.

Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

68%
Both teams to score
72%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 9%1-1 8%3-1 7%

Head-to-head: Club America vs Santos Laguna

  • 5 April 2026Santos Laguna 1–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 5 October 2025Club America 3–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 26 January 2025Santos Laguna 1–4 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 20 October 2024Club America 3–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 7 April 2024Santos Laguna 1–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 22 October 2023Club America 4–3 Santos LagunaLiga MX
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Club America the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.35 expected goals for Club America against 1.37 for Santos Laguna. Club America's attack/defence rating is 1.08/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.15 for Santos Laguna.