Club America vs Santos Laguna Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club America 3-0 Santos Laguna.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Club America, 20% draw, 21% Santos Laguna — fair odds of 1.69, 5.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club America at 59% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club America vs Santos Laguna
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30R. CotaG
- 34D. EspinozaD
- 29R. JuarezD
- 4S. CaceresD
- 26C. BorjaD
- 28E. SanchezM
- 13A. CervantesM
- 12I. ViolanteM
- 23Raphael VeigaM
- 20A. H. Gutierrez TorresM
- 9H. MartinF
- 21F. TapiaG
- 5K. AlvarezD
- 7B. RodriguezF
- 3I. ReyesD
- 32M. VazquezD
- 33P. SalasF
- 186D. ArriagaM
- 27IcaroM
- 2E. LaraD
- 1C. AcevedoG
- 3M. CuevasD
- 18F. PardoD
- 25F. SanchezD
- 17E. EcheverriaD
- 5A. LopezM
- 8S. Mariscal MurraM
- 10E. BullaudeM
- 21F. VillalbaM
- 26R. SordoM
- 19E. AguirreF
- 33H. HolguinG
- 11C. GruezoM
- 4J. AbellaD
- 14E. OronaM
- 7D. GonzalezF
- 6J. GuemezM
- 9L. Di YorioF
- 77K. PalaciosM
- 15J. ManchaM
Form going into Club America vs Santos Laguna
Club America
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Atlante FC25 July 2026
- W1-0away to Club Queretaro19 July 2026
Santos Laguna
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Atlas26 July 2026
- L2-3away to Monterrey19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 19 | +15 | 28 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club America vs Santos Laguna
- 5 April 2026Santos Laguna 1–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
- 5 October 2025Club America 3–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 26 January 2025Santos Laguna 1–4 Club AmericaLiga MX
- 20 October 2024Club America 3–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 7 April 2024Santos Laguna 1–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club America and Santos Laguna
Club America
GoalsAssists
- H. Martín83
- M. Borja60
- B. Rodríguez53
Santos Laguna
GoalsAssists
- Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club America beat Santos Laguna 3–0. The model had made a win for Club America its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: H. Martin 2' for Club America, B. Rodriguez 73' for Club America, A. Cardenas 90' for Club America. On expected goals it finished 1.70–1.72.