2 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion miejski w Katowicach, Katowice
Full time3 – 1

Final score: GKS Katowice 3-1 Radomiak Radom.

Before kick-off the model made it 63% GKS Katowice, 21% draw, 16% Radomiak Radom — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts GKS Katowice at 63% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
⚽I. Camara
A. Czerwinski
43'
⚽A. Tapsoba (OG)
58'
🔁M. Wdowiakout: B. Galan
59'
🔁E. Markovicout: S. Bartlewicz
59'
61'
Luquinhas
⚽I. Shkurin
66'
🔁B. Wolskiout: M. Kowalczyk
70'
70'
🔁Conradoout: E. Balde
70'
🔁A. Tapsobaout: F. Goure
🔁A. Czerwinskiout: L. Klemenz
71'
72'
C. Donis
K. Lukasiak
72'
L. Klemenz
75'
78'
🔁I. Camaraout: C. Nunnely
B. Galan
79'
80'
R. Wolski
83'
F. Goure
88'
🔁C. Donisout: E. F. Goncalves
89'
A. Dieguez
🔁I. Shkurinout: J. Kokosinski
90+4'
⚽B. Nowakassist: I. Shkurin
90'

Match stats — GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom

55%Possession45%
25Shots10
6On target2
10Corners1
1.93xG0.72

Goals against chances

GKS Katowice3 from 1.93 xGmore than the chances were worth
Radomiak Radom1 from 0.72 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

GKS Katowice
  • 87G. KobylakG
  • 30A. CzerwinskiD
  • 4A. JedrychD
  • 55P. RestaD
  • 97E. JirkaM
  • 19K. LukasiakM
  • 68B. WolskiM
  • 7M. WdowiakM
  • 15E. MarkovicF
  • 17I. ShkurinF
  • 27B. NowakF
Substitutes
  • 1M. KikolskiG
  • 99A. ZrelakF
  • 8B. GalanM
  • 10M. WedrychowskiM
  • 77M. KowalczykM
  • 31S. BartlewiczM
  • 21J. KokosinskiF
  • 6L. KlemenzD
  • 22S. MilewskiM
Coach: Rafal Gorak
Radomiak Radom
  • 1F. MajchrowiczG
  • 24Zie OuattaraD
  • 3K. SzczesniakD
  • 26A. DieguezD
  • 97ConradoD
  • 77C. DonisM
  • 13J. GrzesikM
  • 8I. CamaraM
  • 27R. WolskiM
  • 82LuquinhasM
  • 15A. TapsobaF
Substitutes
  • 99B. GradeckiG
  • 21E. BaldeF
  • 5J. BlascoD
  • 11F. GoureF
  • 7C. NunnelyF
  • 23K. KarasekM
  • 90R. Lumungo
  • 72F. KoperskiM
  • 18E. F. GoncalvesF
Coach: Tomasz Kaczmarek

Form going into GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom

GKS Katowice

  • W3-1Žilina30 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026

Radomiak Radom

  • W2-1Wieczysta Kraków24 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10GKS Katowice73041311+29
14Radomiak Radom8224615-98

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom

  • 2 August 2026GKS Katowice 3–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • 8 March 2026Radomiak Radom 0–1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
  • 29 August 2025GKS Katowice 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • 6 December 2024Radomiak Radom 1–1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
  • 20 July 2024GKS Katowice 1–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Radomiak Radom

GKS Katowice

  • I. Shkurin5 goals1 assists

Radomiak Radom

  • R. Wolski3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.