GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: GKS Katowice 3-1 Radomiak Radom.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% GKS Katowice, 21% draw, 16% Radomiak Radom — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GKS Katowice at 63% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 87G. KobylakG
- 30A. CzerwinskiD
- 4A. JedrychD
- 55P. RestaD
- 97E. JirkaM
- 19K. LukasiakM
- 68B. WolskiM
- 7M. WdowiakM
- 15E. MarkovicF
- 17I. ShkurinF
- 27B. NowakF
- 1M. KikolskiG
- 99A. ZrelakF
- 8B. GalanM
- 10M. WedrychowskiM
- 77M. KowalczykM
- 31S. BartlewiczM
- 21J. KokosinskiF
- 6L. KlemenzD
- 22S. MilewskiM
- 1F. MajchrowiczG
- 24Zie OuattaraD
- 3K. SzczesniakD
- 26A. DieguezD
- 97ConradoD
- 77C. DonisM
- 13J. GrzesikM
- 8I. CamaraM
- 27R. WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 15A. TapsobaF
- 99B. GradeckiG
- 21E. BaldeF
- 5J. BlascoD
- 11F. GoureF
- 7C. NunnelyF
- 23K. KarasekM
- 90R. Lumungo
- 72F. KoperskiM
- 18E. F. GoncalvesF
Form going into GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Žilina30 July 2026
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026
Radomiak Radom
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Wieczysta Kraków24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 18 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom
- 8 March 2026Radomiak Radom 0–1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 29 August 2025GKS Katowice 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 6 December 2024Radomiak Radom 1–1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 20 July 2024GKS Katowice 1–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
GoalsAssists
- I. Shkurin81
- B. Nowak48
Radomiak Radom
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
GKS Katowice beat Radomiak Radom 3–1. The model had made a win for GKS Katowice its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: I. Camara 37' for Radomiak Radom, A. Tapsoba (own goal) 58' for GKS Katowice, I. Shkurin 66' for GKS Katowice, B. Nowak 90' for GKS Katowice. On expected goals it finished 1.93–0.72.