Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Levski Sofia 3-0 Septemvri Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% Levski Sofia, 20% draw, 16% Septemvri Sofia — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Levski Sofia at 64% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 92Svetoslav VutsovG
- 21AldairD
- 31Nikola SerafimovD
- 4Christian MakounD
- 20Álex CentellesD
- 18Gašper TrdinM
- 10Asen Ivanov MitkovM
- 27David KussoM
- 47Akram BourasM
- 22Mazire SoulaM
- 7ReinaldoF
- 78Martin LukovG
- 1Ognyan VladimirovG
- 2Hevertton SantosD
- 50Kristian DimitrovD
- 77Adrian RaychevM
- 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
- 17Everton BalaM
- 19El Mehdi MoubarikM
- 35SerginhoM
- 12Vladimir IvanovG
- 13Kubrat OnashchiD
- 4Martin HristovD
- 3Sebas WadeD
- 8Bozhidar PenchevD
- 5Yoan BaurenskiM
- 6Pedro FerreiraM
- 28Stoyan StoichkovM
- 11Aleksandar DzhamovF
- 29Frantzety HerardF
- 27André LiberalF
- 21Nikolay KrastevG
- 26Valentine OzornwaforD
- 20Bozhidar TomovskiD
- 24Nikola GenchevM
- 14Aleksandar VutovM
- 30Viktor DobrevM
- 24Zahari AtanasovM
- 17Nicolas FontaineM
- 16Venislav MihaylovM
Form going into Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Universitatea Craiova29 July 2026
- W2-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia25 July 2026
- W1-0Universitatea Craiova22 July 2026
- W2-1Dunav Ruse17 July 2026
Septemvri Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv26 July 2026
- D1-1Arda Kardzhali18 July 2026
What these results say
- Levski Sofia went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Levski Sofia scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Levski Sofia won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 5 | +19 | 29 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
- 30 November 2025Levski Sofia 7–0 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 27 July 2025Septemvri Sofia 1–2 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 21 April 2025Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 9 November 2024Levski Sofia 2–3 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 29 June 2024Levski Sofia 5–0 Septemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.
Septemvri Sofia
GoalsAssists
- André Filipe Rio Liberal11
- F. Herard10
- A. Dzhamov10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Levski Sofia beat Septemvri Sofia 3–0. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: A. Bouras 34' for Levski Sofia, A. Oko-Flex 76' for Levski Sofia, Serginho 79' for Levski Sofia.