12 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Princess Magogo Stadium, Durban
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Amazulu 1-1 Orlando Pirates.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Amazulu, 21% draw, 56% Orlando Pirates — fair odds of 4.35, 4.76 and 1.79.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Orlando Pirates at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Amazulu4%Draw90%Orlando Pirates6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽T. Moremi
⚽T. Ngwenya (pen)
45'
T. Ngwenya
51'
55'
🔁S. Nduliout: T. Mokobodi
🔁S. Zikhaliout: L. Mhlongo
60'
63'
🔁N. Ndabaout: D. Hotto
64'
🔁K. Sebelebeleout: K. Kgosietsile
64'
🔁T. Moremiout: O. Appollis
🔁T. Ngwenyaout: N. Mokoena
73'
77'
🔁Y. Mbuthumaout: B. Radiopane
🔁M. Mbanjwaout: A. Sithole
86'
🔁A. Maqokolaout: T. Mashigo
86'

Match stats — Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates

29%Possession71%
5Shots24
1On target8
7Corners10
1.03xG1.74

Goals against chances

Amazulu1 from 1.03 xGabout what the chances were worth
Orlando Pirates1 from 1.74 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Amazulu 4-4-2
  • 24W. KouassiG
  • 42S. MthethwaD
  • 12T. FieliesD
  • 4R. HanamubD
  • 3O. MdakaD
  • 14N. RadebeM
  • 19S. ZikhaliM
  • 6S. HlangabezaM
  • 15M. MbanjwaM
  • 2A. MaqokolaF
  • 23T. NgwenyaF
Substitutes
  • 1O. Mzimela
  • 11A. SitholeM
  • 18N. MokoenaM
  • 33K. PhillipsD
  • 38G. MoraloM
  • 50L. MhlongoM
  • 20T. MashigoM
  • 17L. BernD
  • 22B. Thabede
Coach: Arthur Zwane
Orlando Pirates 4-2-3-1
  • 24S. ChaineG
  • 36K. SebelebeleD
  • 6L. SeemaD
  • 5N. SibisiD
  • 3N. NdabaD
  • 46C. DansinM
  • 30S. NduliM
  • 23G. LunguM
  • 28P. MaswanganyiM
  • 11T. MoremiM
  • 9Y. MbuthumaF
Substitutes
  • 32S. DladlaG
  • 7D. HottoM
  • 25B. RadiopaneF
  • 49K. Kgosietsile
  • 48S. MasilelaM
  • 37S. ZuluD
  • 12O. AppollisF
  • 33T. MokobodiM
  • 29M. MthiyaneM
Coach: Abdeslam Ouaddou

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Amazulu9711138+522
2Orlando Pirates9810212+1925

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates

  • 18 April 2026Orlando Pirates 3–0 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
  • 3 February 2026Amazulu 0–2 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
  • 24 May 2025Amazulu 1–1 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
  • 25 October 2024Orlando Pirates 2–1 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
  • 20 April 2024Orlando Pirates 1–0 AmazuluPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Amazulu and Orlando Pirates

Amazulu

GoalsAssists

  • T. Ngwenya81

Orlando Pirates

GoalsAssists

  • T. Moremi50
  • B. Radiopane31
  • Y. Mbuthuma30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Amazulu and Orlando Pirates drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Orlando Pirates at 56% and given a draw 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: T. Moremi 7' for Orlando Pirates, T. Ngwenya (penalty) 45' for Amazulu. On expected goals it finished 1.03–1.74.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.