Talleres Cordoba
vs
Lanus
The model makes it 38% Talleres Cordoba, 32% draw, 30% Lanus — fair odds of 2.63, 3.13 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Talleres Cordoba 1.08, Lanus 0.93.
Both teams to score: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 33%, under 2.5: 67%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Talleres Cordoba
- W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026
- L1-3Velez Sarsfield30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Newell's Old Boys25 July 2026
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba9 May 2026
- D1-1away to Union Santa Fe2 May 2026
Lanus
- L1-2away to Union Santa Fe6 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba3 August 2026
- W1-0San Lorenzo26 July 2026
- L0-2away to Argentinos Juniors10 May 2026
- D0-0Deportivo Riestra2 May 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus
- 9 February 2026Lanus 1–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 August 2025Lanus 1–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 February 2025Talleres Cordoba 0–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 November 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–2 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 June 2023Lanus 2–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 October 2022Talleres Cordoba 0–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
The two sides
Talleres Cordoba carry a model rating of 6.63 against 6.78 for Lanus. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Talleres Cordoba D-L-L-L-W; Lanus D-L-W-L-L.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.08 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 0.93 for Lanus. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Talleres Cordoba rate 0.72 in attack and 1.13 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lanus rate 0.59 and 0.79.
That points to 33% for over two and a half goals and 41% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%).
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Talleres Cordoba a 9.2% chance of the title and Lanus 4.5%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 267 correct results out of 562 settled predictions (48%), with 53 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Talleres Cordoba the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.08 expected goals for Talleres Cordoba against 0.93 for Lanus. Talleres Cordoba's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/0.79 for Lanus.