CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse First League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA 1948 2-1 Dunav Ruse.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% CSKA 1948, 25% draw, 19% Dunav Ruse — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts CSKA 1948 at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse
Line-ups
- 31A. BozhevG
- 22O. GaševićF
- 3L. DvaliD
- 33H. CuellarD
- 2D. MedinaD
- 67Frédéric MacielF
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 30J. MeyerM
- 11G. RusevF
- 9A. IlievF
- 93M. DialloF
- 5B. BenamarD
- 77Elias FrancoF
- 96D. GrivićD
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 70K. IlievD
- 23F. KrebsM
- 13D. SheytanovG
- 20B. SobreroM
- 14K. StrinskiM
- 33G. KitanovG
- 22S. PredevD
- 4J. CabarcasD
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM
- 10K. BoychevM
- 14R. ApostolovM
- 44V. VidakovićM
- 88D. TodorovD
- 9Álex ValiñoF
- 11D. MinchevF
- 6S. YovkovD
- 19S. StefanovM
- 78E. SouM
- 77A. SimeonovF
- 69P. PepelyashevG
- 18I. KeïtaF
- 24S. GavrilovM
- 2M. DilchovskiD
- 51I. BudinovD
Form going into CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse
CSKA 1948
First League
- L0-1away to Levski Sofia5 September 2026
Dunav Ruse
First League
- L0-1Slavia Sofia7 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | +12 | 25 |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse
- 26 September 2019CSKA 1948 2–1 Dunav RuseCup
Leading scorers: CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Dunav Ruse
GoalsAssists
- I. Budinov11
- Andre Alves10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA 1948 beat Dunav Ruse 2–1. The model had made a win for CSKA 1948 its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Mamadou Diallo 4' for CSKA 1948, jordan louis saint 46' for Dunav Ruse, Dragan Grivić 90' for CSKA 1948.
How the call on CSKA 1948 v Dunav Ruse has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 61% / 22% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 56% / 25% / 19%: the biggest move is CSKA 1948's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- CSKA 1948 win56%▼ −5
- Draw25%▲ +3
- Dunav Ruse win19%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.