Motor Lublin
vs
Jagiellonia
The model makes it 43% Motor Lublin, 21% draw, 36% Jagiellonia — fair odds of 2.33, 4.76 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (7%).
Expected goals: Motor Lublin 2.14, Jagiellonia 1.98.
Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%, under 2.5: 22%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia
- 7 February 2026Jagiellonia 4–1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
- 14 December 2025Motor Lublin 1–1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- 16 February 2025Jagiellonia 3–0 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
- 25 September 2024Motor Lublin 0–2 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- 17 January 2024Jagiellonia 0–0 Motor LublinFriendlies Clubs
- 4 July 2023Motor Lublin 1–1 JagielloniaFriendlies Clubs
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Motor Lublin the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.14 expected goals for Motor Lublin against 1.98 for Jagiellonia. Motor Lublin's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/1.51 for Jagiellonia.