CS Sfaxien
vs
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: CS Sfaxien 2–0 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
The model makes it 61% CS Sfaxien, 23% draw, 16% Jeunesse Sportive Omrane — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: CS Sfaxien 2.06, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0.80.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: CS Sfaxien are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. CS Sfaxien's rating is built from 37 Ligue 1 (Tunisia) matches and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's from 37, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- CS Sfaxien are 8th on 10 points from 7 games; Jeunesse Sportive Omrane are 9th on 10 points from 7 games — Ligue 1.
- CS Sfaxien are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to ES Sahel.
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane are unbeaten in their last 5 games (1 won), most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Olympique Béja.
- Last 5 meetings: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 1 February 2026, ended Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1–0 CS Sfaxien.
More Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CS Sfaxien vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Has the model earned this number?
CS Sfaxien at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into CS Sfaxien vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
CS Sfaxien
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to ES Sahel7 November 2026
- D0-0ES Tunis29 October 2026
- L0-1away to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer10 October 2026
- W2-0CA Bizertin20 September 2026
- D1-1away to US Ben Guerdane16 September 2026
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Ligue 1
- D0-0Olympique Béja23 October 2026
- D1-1away to CS Hammam-Lif18 October 2026
- D0-0AS Marsa11 October 2026
- W1-0ES Metlaoui13 September 2026
- D1-1away to ES Sahel6 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for CS Sfaxien had two goals or fewer.
- CS Sfaxien failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane had two goals or fewer.
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CS Sfaxien | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
CS Sfaxien
Chance to finish in the top two · 21% today
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 4% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: CS Sfaxien vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- 1 February 2026Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1–0 CS SfaxienLigue 1
- 28 August 2025CS Sfaxien 2–0 Jeunesse Sportive OmraneLigue 1
- 9 February 2025CS Sfaxien 0–0 Jeunesse Sportive OmraneLigue 1
- 29 September 2024Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1–0 CS SfaxienLigue 1
- 19 February 2023Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1–1 CS SfaxienCup
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives CS Sfaxien a 7.1% chance of the title and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CS Sfaxien the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.06 expected goals for CS Sfaxien against 0.80 for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane. CS Sfaxien's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.76 for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane.
How the model reaches 61% for CS Sfaxien to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CS Sfaxien to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, CS Sfaxien's ratings add 9 points and Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's ratings add 9 points, which lands on the published 61%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level43%−1
- CS Sfaxien's ratings52%+9
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's ratings61%+9
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
CS Sfaxien at home · Jeunesse Sportive Omrane away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: CS Sfaxien 7, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 7.
CS Sfaxien score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Jeunesse Sportive Omrane have let in 0 there.
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); CS Sfaxien have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
CS Sfaxien
- at AS Marsa28 Nov · Ligue 1win 43%
- vs CS Hammam-Lif5 Dec · Ligue 1win 61%
- at Olympique Béja12 Dec · Ligue 1win 53%
- vs ES Metlaoui19 Dec · Ligue 1win 68%
- vs US Monastirienne26 Dec · Ligue 1win 52%
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- vs US Monastirienne28 Nov · Ligue 1win 35%
- at Club Africain5 Dec · Ligue 1win 18%
- vs ES Hammam-Sousse12 Dec · Ligue 1win 60%
- at Stade Tunisien19 Dec · Ligue 1win 20%
- vs ES Zarzis26 Dec · Ligue 1win 43%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.