23 July 2026, 22:30 UTC

Corinthians vs Remo Serie A prediction & result

Neo Química Arena, Sao Paulo
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Corinthians 3-0 Remo.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Corinthians, 22% draw, 44% Remo — fair odds of 2.94, 4.55 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Remo at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Yuri Albertoassist: André Luiz
26'
⚽Kaio Césarassist: Breno Bidon
40'
•Kaio César
41'
⚽Yuri Albertoassist: Zakaria Labyad
45+2'
46'
🔁Vitor Buenoout: Zé Ricardo
🔁Zakaria Labyadout: Jesse Lingard
72'
72'
🔁Alef Mangaout: Gabriel Taliari
🔁Kaio Césarout: André Carrillo
73'
🔁Matheus Biduout: Fabrizio Angileri
80'
🔁André Luizout: Matheus Pereira
80'
80'
🔁Yago Pikachuout: Matheus Alexandre
80'
🔁Patrickout: Leonel Picco
Gabriel Paulista
86'
86'
Marllon
🔁Breno Bidonout: Dieguinho
86'
89'
🔁Jajáout: Tico

Match stats — Corinthians vs Remo

56%Possession44%
15Shots3
7On target0
3Corners4
1.67xG0.17

Goals against chances

Corinthians3 from 1.67 xGmore than the chances were worth
Remo0 from 0.17 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Corinthians 4-2-3-1
  • 1Hugo SouzaG
  • 2MatheuzinhoD
  • 3Gabriel PaulistaD
  • 13Gustavo HenriqueD
  • 21Matheus BiduD
  • 29AllanM
  • 49André LuizM
  • 37Kaio CésarM
  • 7Breno BidonM
  • 52Zakaria LabyadM
  • 9Yuri AlbertoF
Substitutes
  • 77Jesse LingardM
  • 19André CarrilloM
  • 26Fabrizio AngileriD
  • 23Matheus PereiraM
  • 61DieguinhoM
  • 51KauêG
  • 5André RamalhoD
  • 20Pedro MilansD
  • 4João Pedro TchocaD
Coach: Fernando Diniz
Remo 4-4-2
  • 88Marcelo RangelG
  • 79MarcelinhoD
  • 13MarllonD
  • 27Zé IvaldoD
  • 77MaykD
  • 22Yago PikachuM
  • 8PatrickM
  • 28Zé WelisonM
  • 7JajáM
  • 15Vitor BuenoF
  • 11Alef MangaF
Substitutes
  • 55Zé RicardoM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariF
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 14Leonel PiccoM
  • 61TicoM
  • 94Ygor VinhasG
  • 97IvanG
  • 4Matheus FelipeD
  • 5LéoD
Coach: Conde Leo

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Corinthians3289153442-833
19Remo33611163651-1529

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Corinthians vs Remo

  • 27 April 2023Corinthians 2–0 RemoCopa Do Brasil
  • 13 April 2023Remo 2–0 CorinthiansCopa Do Brasil

Leading scorers: Corinthians and Remo

Corinthians

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 34 league goals as a side.

Remo

GoalsAssists

  • Jája Silva91

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Corinthians beat Remo 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Remo at 44% and given a win for Corinthians 34%. The goals: Yuri Alberto 26' for Corinthians, Kaio César 40' for Corinthians, Yuri Alberto 45+2' for Corinthians. On expected goals it finished 1.67–0.17.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.