Internacional vs Cruzeiro Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Internacional 1-2 Cruzeiro.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Internacional, 22% draw, 41% Cruzeiro — fair odds of 2.70, 4.55 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cruzeiro at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Internacional vs Cruzeiro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12AnthoniG
- 4Félix TorresD
- 25Gabriel MercadoD
- 3Guillermo MaripánD
- 53Luiz FelipeD
- 28VitinhoM
- 15Bruno GomesM
- 5Rodrigo VillagraM
- 26Alexandro BernabeiM
- 7Johan CarboneroF
- 9AlerrandroF
- 41Victor GabrielD
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 35Braian AguirreD
- 27Paulinho PaulaM
- 24Filipe Borba SirioG
- 18Jose JuninhoD
- 31AllexM
- 52Gabriel Vinicius Oliveira da SilvaM
- 81Otávio CostaG
- 23FagnerD
- 15Fabrício BrunoD
- 34Jonathan JesusD
- 27Gabriel RojasD
- 7Matheus HenriqueM
- 8GersonM
- 77Gabriel PecM
- 10Matheus PereiraM
- 17Luis SinisterraM
- 19Kaio JorgeF
- 9Bruno RodriguesF
- 16Lucas SilvaM
- 94WandersonF
- 12William FurtadoD
- 22Néiser VillarrealM
- 51Vitor LamounierG
- 2Kauã MoraesD
- 25Lucas VillalbaD
- 43João MarceloD
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 35 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 57 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Internacional vs Cruzeiro
- 23 August 2025Cruzeiro 2–1 InternacionalSerie A
- 6 April 2025Internacional 3–0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 28 August 2024Cruzeiro 0–0 InternacionalSerie A
- 25 August 2024Internacional 1–0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 5 November 2023Cruzeiro 1–2 InternacionalSerie A
Leading scorers: Internacional and Cruzeiro
Internacional
GoalsAssists
- J. Carbonero74
Cruzeiro
GoalsAssists
- Kaio Jorge122
- Matheus Pereira97
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cruzeiro won 2–1 at Internacional. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Cruzeiro at 41%. The goals: Kaio Jorge 11' for Cruzeiro, Matheus Pereira 64' for Cruzeiro, J. Carbonero 83' for Internacional. Sent off: Victor Gabriel (Internacional) 59'. On expected goals it finished 1.74–1.79.