Belgrano Cordoba vs Rosario Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 Rosario Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% Belgrano Cordoba, 17% draw, 10% Rosario Central — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Belgrano Cordoba at 73% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Rosario Central
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23Manuel VicentiniG
- 14Leonardo MoralesD
- 2Alexis MaldonadoD
- 17Lisandro LópezD
- 3Adrián SpörleD
- 20Franco VázquezM
- 21Adrián SánchezM
- 24Emiliano RigoniM
- 10Lucas ZelarayánM
- 53Juan VelázquezM
- 22Nicolás FernándezF
- 9Lucas PasseriniF
- 5Santiago LongoM
- 11Francisco González MetilliM
- 8Ramiro HernandesM
- 60Santigao FerezG
- 4Agustin GriguolD
- 13Álvaro OcampoD
- 26Alcides BenítezD
- 42Jeremías LuccoF
- 23Jeremías LedesmaG
- 32Emanuel CoronelD
- 15Facundo MalloD
- 13Gastón ÁvilaD
- 3Agustín SándezD
- 5Franco IbarraM
- 20Vicente PizarroM
- 18Julián FernándezM
- 11Ángel Di MaríaM
- 8Jaminton CampazM
- 16Tomás BadaloniF
- 31Federico NavarroM
- 42Elías VerónD
- 1Axel WernerG
- 33Alexis SotoD
- 36Alvaro GuichD
- 2Sebastian ZarachoD
- 7Marcelo CabreraF
- 53Valentino FeliciM
- 28Pol FernándezM
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 22 |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Belgrano Cordoba vs Rosario Central
- 25 January 2026Rosario Central 1–2 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 December 2024Rosario Central 2–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 July 2023Belgrano Cordoba 0–0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 March 2019Rosario Central 0–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 April 2018Rosario Central 2–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Belgrano Cordoba and Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Rosario Central
GoalsAssists
- Á. Di María115
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Belgrano Cordoba beat Rosario Central 2–1. The model had made a win for Belgrano Cordoba its most likely outcome, at 73%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Nicolás Fernández 36' for Belgrano Cordoba, Julián Fernández 77' for Rosario Central, Francisco González Metilli 88' for Belgrano Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 1.14–1.28.