23 July 2026, 22:30 UTC

Belgrano Cordoba vs Rosario Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Julio César Villagra, Cordoba
Full time2 1

Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 Rosario Central.

Before kick-off the model made it 73% Belgrano Cordoba, 17% draw, 10% Rosario Central — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Belgrano Cordoba at 73% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
Facundo Mallo
Nicolás Fernándezassist: Franco Vázquez
36'
🔁Nicolás Fernándezout: Lucas Passerini
60'
🔁Juan Velázquezout: Santiago Longo
68'
72'
🔁Vicente Pizarroout: Federico Navarro
77'
Julián Fernándezassist: Gastón Ávila
79'
Julián Fernández
🔁Emiliano Rigoniout: Francisco González Metilli
80'
🔁Lucas Zelarayánout: Ramiro Hernandes
81'
87'
🔁Ángel Di Maríaout: Elías Verón
Francisco González Metilliassist: Ramiro Hernandes
88'
90+2'
Elías Verón

Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Rosario Central

47%Possession53%
13Shots10
5On target3
6Corners7
1.14xG1.28

Goals against chances

Belgrano Cordoba2 from 1.14 xGmore than the chances were worth
Rosario Central1 from 1.28 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Belgrano Cordoba
  • 23Manuel VicentiniG
  • 14Leonardo MoralesD
  • 2Alexis MaldonadoD
  • 17Lisandro LópezD
  • 3Adrián SpörleD
  • 20Franco VázquezM
  • 21Adrián SánchezM
  • 24Emiliano RigoniM
  • 10Lucas ZelarayánM
  • 53Juan VelázquezM
  • 22Nicolás FernándezF
Substitutes
  • 9Lucas PasseriniF
  • 5Santiago LongoM
  • 11Francisco González MetilliM
  • 8Ramiro HernandesM
  • 60Santigao FerezG
  • 4Agustin GriguolD
  • 13Álvaro OcampoD
  • 26Alcides BenítezD
  • 42Jeremías LuccoF
Coach: Ricardo Zielinski
Rosario Central
  • 23Jeremías LedesmaG
  • 32Emanuel CoronelD
  • 15Facundo MalloD
  • 13Gastón ÁvilaD
  • 3Agustín SándezD
  • 5Franco IbarraM
  • 20Vicente PizarroM
  • 18Julián FernándezM
  • 11Ángel Di MaríaM
  • 8Jaminton CampazM
  • 16Tomás BadaloniF
Substitutes
  • 31Federico NavarroM
  • 42Elías VerónD
  • 1Axel WernerG
  • 33Alexis SotoD
  • 36Alvaro GuichD
  • 2Sebastian ZarachoD
  • 7Marcelo CabreraF
  • 53Valentino FeliciM
  • 28Pol FernándezM
Coach: Jorge Almiron

Head-to-head: Belgrano Cordoba vs Rosario Central

  • 23 July 2026Belgrano Cordoba 2–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 25 January 2026Rosario Central 1–2 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 December 2024Rosario Central 2–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 28 July 2023Belgrano Cordoba 0–0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 March 2019Rosario Central 0–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 April 2018Rosario Central 2–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Belgrano Cordoba and Rosario Central

Belgrano Cordoba

No leading scorers listed yet.

Rosario Central

  • Á. Di María8 goals4 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.