Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Portland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Portland Timbers, 24% draw, 33% FC Dallas — fair odds of 2.33, 4.17 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Portland Timbers at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41James PantemisG
- 5Brandon ByeD
- 20Finn SurmanD
- 4Kamal MillerD
- 27Jímer ForyD
- 30José CaicedoM
- 7Ariel LassiterM
- 17Cole BassettM
- 10David Pereira Da CostaM
- 11Antony AlvesM
- 19Kevin KelsyF
- 21Diego CharáM
- 99Kristoffer VeldeF
- 9Felipe MoraF
- 28Alexander AravenaF
- 25Trey MuseG
- 23Ian SmithD
- 15Eric MillerD
- 6Alex BonetigD
- 80Joao OrtízM
- 42DanielG
- 14Herman JohanssonD
- 3Osaze UrhoghideD
- 18Shaq MooreD
- 32Nolan NorrisD
- 21Joaquín ValienteM
- 12Christian CappisM
- 55KaickM
- 8Patrickson DelgadoM
- 10Santiago MorenoF
- 23Logan FarringtonF
- 77Bernard KamungoF
- 28Sam SarverF
- 9Petar MusaF
- 25Sebastien IbeaghaD
- 6Ran BinyaminM
- 40Jonathan SiroisG
- 5Lalas AbubakarD
- 27Caleb SwannM
- 11Anderson JulioF
Form going into Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
All competitions we cover
- W5-1away to Seattle Sounders17 July 2026
FC Dallas
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 49 | +9 | 54 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
- 28 September 2025Portland Timbers 2–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 10 August 2025FC Dallas 2–0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 6 October 2024Portland Timbers 0–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 5 July 2024FC Dallas 3–2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 12 June 2023Portland Timbers 1–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Portland Timbers and FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 57 league goals as a side.
FC Dallas
GoalsAssists
- P. Musa225
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Portland Timbers and FC Dallas drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Portland Timbers at 43% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: P. Delgado 45+1' for FC Dallas, K. Kelsy 66' for Portland Timbers, P. Musa 88' for FC Dallas, F. Mora 90+2' for Portland Timbers. On expected goals it finished 2.40–1.01.