Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Club Tijuana, 21% draw, 24% Cruz Azul — fair odds of 1.82, 4.76 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club Tijuana at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 2A. RodriguezG
- 3R. FernandezD
- 12J. PorozoD
- 6A. GomezD
- 33P. N. Ortiz OrozcoD
- 8I. TonaM
- 17R. ArcigaM
- 10G. MoraM
- 15I. RiveroM
- 7A. PreciadoM
- 19D. AbreuF
- 29J. HernandezG
- 16A. VegaD
- 34F. BoyaM
- 20A. ZapataM
- 26A. PerezM
- 31Y. PadillaF
- 9M. El GhezouaniF
- 13Elias ManoelF
- 11F. GonzalezF
- 23K. MierG
- 16J. MarquezD
- 12A. MontesD
- 5J. OrozcoD
- 3O. CamposD
- 19C. RodriguezM
- 6E. LiraM
- 20J. ParadelaM
- 18L. RomeroM
- 11C. EbereM
- 7N. IbanezF
- 1A. GudinoG
- 49J. Diaz
- 32C. JimenezM
- 66J. SuarezD
- 55R. GonzalezM
- 17A. GarciaM
- 10A. MontanoM
- 214M. LevyF
- 21G. FernandezF
Form going into Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Atletico San Luis1 August 2026
- W1-0Leon25 July 2026
- W3-1Tigres UANL17 July 2026
Cruz Azul
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Atlante FC2 August 2026
- W2-1Puebla22 July 2026
- W3-2away to Atletico San Luis18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 26 | +11 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
- 18 April 2026Cruz Azul 1–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 29 September 2025Club Tijuana 2–0 Cruz AzulLiga MX
- 1 February 2025Club Tijuana 2–3 Cruz AzulLiga MX
- 1 December 2024Cruz Azul 3–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 28 November 2024Club Tijuana 3–0 Cruz AzulLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Cruz Azul
GoalsAssists
- A. Montaño65
- N. Ibáñez63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Tijuana beat Cruz Azul 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Club Tijuana at 55%. The goals: I. Rivero 44' for Club Tijuana, N. Ibanez 45' for Cruz Azul, G. Mora 54' for Club Tijuana. On expected goals it finished 1.81–1.30.