Club America vs Atletico San Luis Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club America 3-0 Atletico San Luis.
Before kick-off the model made it 79% Club America, 12% draw, 9% Atletico San Luis — fair odds of 1.27, 8.33 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club America at 79%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club America vs Atletico San Luis
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21F. TapiaG
- 2E. LaraD
- 29R. JuarezD
- 32M. VazquezD
- 34D. EspinozaD
- 27IcaroM
- 13A. CervantesM
- 186D. ArriagaM
- 23Raphael VeigaM
- 22O. PereaM
- 9H. MartinF
- 30R. CotaG
- 5K. AlvarezD
- 3I. ReyesD
- 4S. CaceresD
- 28E. SanchezM
- 20A. H. Gutierrez TorresM
- 7B. RodriguezF
- 33P. SalasF
- 12I. ViolanteF
- 1A. SanchezG
- 3Robson BambuD
- 14M. GarciaD
- 31E. AguilaD
- 2R. TorresM
- 21O. MaciasM
- 10S. Salles-LamongeM
- 16Lucas EstevesM
- 11D. RodriguezF
- 99F. MoraF
- 22R. LlorenteF
- 25M. G. LajudG
- 18A. CruzD
- 30B. GalindoD
- 26S. PerezM
- 5R. MerazM
- 7B. GaldamesM
- 13J. CaicedoM
- 8R. NajeraM
- 17A. DuarteF
Form going into Club America vs Atletico San Luis
Club America
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Santos Laguna2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Atlante FC25 July 2026
- W1-0away to Club Queretaro19 July 2026
Atletico San Luis
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Club Tijuana1 August 2026
- D2-2away to Tigres UANL26 July 2026
- L2-3Cruz Azul18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 30 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club America vs Atletico San Luis
- 15 January 2026Club America 0–2 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 25 September 2025Atletico San Luis 0–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
- 29 January 2025Club America 3–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 6 July 2024Atletico San Luis 2–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
- 30 March 2024Club America 2–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 10 December 2023Club America 0–2 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club America and Atletico San Luis
Club America
GoalsAssists
- H. Martín113
- M. Borja60
- B. Rodríguez53
Atletico San Luis
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club America beat Atletico San Luis 3–0. The model had made a win for Club America its most likely outcome, at 79%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goals: Raphael Veiga 26' for Club America, O. Perea 52' for Club America, D. Arriaga 66' for Club America. Sent off: Robson Bambu (Atletico San Luis) 47'. On expected goals it finished 1.97–0.69.