Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-1 Wisla Plock.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Wisla Krakow, 13% draw, 13% Wisla Plock — fair odds of 1.35, 7.69 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Wisla Krakow at 74%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. LubikG
- 2J. LelieveldD
- 6A. UrygaD
- 13M. MaisonneuveD
- 52J. KrzyzanowskiD
- 7J. ErtlthalerM
- 41K. DudaM
- 10F. DuarteM
- 9A. RodadoM
- 17M. BozicM
- 11J. SanchezF
- 28P. LetkiewiczG
- 21J. GuillemenotF
- 97W. BiedrzyckiD
- 4R. MikulecD
- 12J. IgbekemeM
- 20E. OmicM
- 51M. KuziemkaM
- 29D. GrujcicD
- 27E. YouanF
- 12R. LeszczynskiG
- 4M. Haglind-SangreD
- 35M. KaminskiD
- 3M. FlisD
- 21Z. RogeljM
- 17A. RadwanskiM
- 8D. PachecoM
- 23P. KunM
- 11J. JimenezF
- 10S. HamulicF
- 7O. KobackiF
- 26J. BurekG
- 82S. WadasG
- 20L. SekulskiF
- 99D. JuricF
- 18J. PrsirM
- 6K. PomorskiM
- 88K. SavvidisM
- 16F. HiszpanskiM
- 5M. KaramarkoD
Form going into Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock
Wisla Krakow
All competitions we cover
- L3-4away to Piast Gliwice1 August 2026
- W2-1GKS Katowice26 July 2026
Wisla Plock
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Widzew Łódź31 July 2026
- W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 24 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock
- 2 May 2025Wisla Krakow 1–3 Wisla PlockI Liga
- 27 October 2024Wisla Plock 1–3 Wisla KrakowI Liga
- 13 April 2024Wisla Plock 1–1 Wisla KrakowI Liga
- 1 October 2023Wisla Krakow 0–0 Wisla PlockI Liga
- 14 January 2023Wisla Plock 1–5 Wisla KrakowFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and Wisla Plock
Wisla Krakow
GoalsAssists
- Ángel Rodado41
Wisla Plock
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wisla Krakow beat Wisla Plock 2–1. The model had made a win for Wisla Krakow its most likely outcome, at 74%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goals: A. Rodado 14' for Wisla Krakow, S. Hamulic 28' for Wisla Plock, J. Sanchez 36' for Wisla Krakow. On expected goals it finished 1.78–1.51.