Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 Slovan Liberec.
Before kick-off the model made it 71% Zbrojovka Brno, 16% draw, 13% Slovan Liberec — fair odds of 1.41, 6.25 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Zbrojovka Brno at 71%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. HrdinaG
- 39J. KlimaD
- 3Kaka
- 26F. Vedral
- 6L. PenxaM
- 8P. CavosM
- 20L. SaalM
- 44A. DanteM
- 77L. EzehF
- 15D. VasulinF
- 14T. VachousekF
- 4E. HunalD
- 7S. LangerM
- 9O. VelichF
- 10A. VanicekM
- 11M. RymarenkoF
- 17J. ZmrhalM
- 18D. GranecnyD
- 19B. KanakimanaF
- 23P. SevcikM
- 40T. KoubekG
- 3J. MikulaD
- 29L. HulkaD
- 26J. BorilD
- 18J. KozeluhM
- 8L. MasopustM
- 60F. FayeM
- 27A. KayondoM
- 24P. DulayF
- 15M. LexaF
- 9L. MasekF
- 6A. BasiladzeF
- 7A. SoliuM
- 12V. StranskyM
- 14A. DrakpeD
- 16A. BuzekM
- 17P. JulisF
- 31D. KudelcikG
- 33L. PeslG
- 77D. Rus
Form going into Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec
Zbrojovka Brno
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Plzen1 August 2026
- W3-1Sparta Praha25 July 2026
Slovan Liberec
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Teplice1 August 2026
- W3-1away to Plzen25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 20 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec
- 23 April 2023Slovan Liberec 3–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 30 October 2022Zbrojovka Brno 3–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 14 May 2021Slovan Liberec 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 22 January 2021Zbrojovka Brno 0–3 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zbrojovka Brno and Slovan Liberec
Zbrojovka Brno
GoalsAssists
- D. Vašulín50
Slovan Liberec
GoalsAssists
- L. Mašek40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slovan Liberec won 1–0 at Zbrojovka Brno. The model had leaned towards a win for Zbrojovka Brno at 71% and given a win for Slovan Liberec 13%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goal: Patrik Dulay 61' for Slovan Liberec. On expected goals it finished 0.68–2.50.