Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Zamalek SC 2-0 Abu Qair Semad.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Zamalek SC, 30% draw, 30% Abu Qair Semad — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zamalek SC at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 37E. M. SolimanG
- 4O. GaberD
- 24M. IsmailD
- 28El Wensh MahmoudD
- 3M. BentaygD
- 17M. ShehataM
- 12A. Rabie
- 98O. DabbaghM
- 39M. El SayedM
- 81C. BanzaM
- 7H. AshrafF
- 99M. AwadG
- 52M. I. HassanD
- 20M. El ZenaryD
- 19A. El SaidM
- 6M. GehadM
- 97A. KhodaryD
- 31A. SherifF
- 11EshoM
- 9N. MansyF
- 1M. GeneshG
- 6M. AlaaD
- 20A. AwadD
- 4M. Gomaa
- 3G. KamelD
- 23F. AkemM
- 30Y. HamdiM
- 14R. MiladM
- 15O. IbrahimM
- 38M. CamaraM
- 9M. Abou GoudaF
- 25M. Shika
- 27A. DaheshD
- 24A. El GazarD
- 8E. HamdiM
- 17E. Fathi
- 7OchaM
- 11M. ShehataF
- 29A. HusseinF
- 21S. ShikaF
Form going into Zamalek SC vs Abu Qair Semad
Zamalek SC
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Petrojet31 August 2026
Abu Qair Semad
Premier League
- L0-2Al Ittihad Alexandria2 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 19 | Abu Qair Semad | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Zamalek SC and Abu Qair Semad
Zamalek SC
GoalsAssists
- Ahmed Sherif30
- Chico Banza21
- Hossam Ashraf20
Abu Qair Semad
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zamalek SC beat Abu Qair Semad 2–0. The model had made a win for Zamalek SC its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Ismail 17' for Zamalek SC, A. Sherif 87' for Zamalek SC. On expected goals it finished 0.92–0.98.
How the call on Zamalek SC v Abu Qair Semad has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 31% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is Zamalek SC's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Zamalek SC win40%▲ +6
- Draw30%▼ −1
- Abu Qair Semad win30%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.