Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Smouha SC 0-2 Ceramica Cleopatra.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Smouha SC, 29% draw, 35% Ceramica Cleopatra — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Smouha SC at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28A. MayhoubG
- 30A. GamalD
- 24M. Ragab
- 4Abdel Rasoul AhmedD
- 3M. DesoukiD
- 7A. El SisiM
- 8S. Fekri
- 66K. MohamedM
- 10K. El GhandourM
- 14MakaronaM
- 20P. BadjiF
- 1H. TaimourG
- 13C. NiyigenaD
- 19M. AdelM
- 17A. El Nadry
- 21A. MohamedF
- 27H. BalahaF
- 23F. FaridF
- 9M. HamdiM
- 45E. NwekeF
- 23M. Alaa
- 2A. HanyD
- 4BeckhamD
- 24J. ArthurD
- 27H. El SayedD
- 15S. El ErakiM
- 10A. Belhadji
- 28K. AmrM
- 29M. OtakaM
- 77BoboF
- 9N. GradisarF
- 18M. BassamG
- 5N. Ragab
- 8A. MagdyM
- 32F. El HenawyM
- 66M. El MaghrabyD
- 17A. El SoliaM
- 30M. EmadM
- 22K. Al NabrisF
- 25E. S. Shika M.F
Form going into Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Smouha SC
Premier League
- L0-1away to Al Ahly3 September 2026
Ceramica Cleopatra
Premier League
- W2-0Future FC2 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Smouha SC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra
Smouha SC
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Ceramica Cleopatra
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Reda22
- Ahmed Belhadji22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ceramica Cleopatra won 2–0 at Smouha SC. The model had leaned towards a win for Smouha SC at 36% and given a win for Ceramica Cleopatra 35%. The goals: S. El Eraki 49' for Ceramica Cleopatra, H. El Sayed 57' for Ceramica Cleopatra. On expected goals it finished 0.62–0.55.
How the call on Smouha SC v Ceramica Cleopatra has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 36% / 29% / 35%: the biggest move is Smouha SC's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Smouha SC win36%▼ −6
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Ceramica Cleopatra win35%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.