AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: AEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask Linz.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% AEK Athens FC, 26% draw, 20% Lask Linz — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AEK Athens FC at 54% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz
AEK Athens FC
- W4-0Levski Sofia26 August 2026
- D0-0away to Levski Sofia18 August 2026
Lask Linz
- L0-3away to Celtic19 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: AEK Athens FC and Lask Linz
AEK Athens FC
- B. Varga2 goals
Lask Linz
No league goals yet this season.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.