26 July 2026, 12:00 UTC

Sirius vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result

Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Sirius 4-1 IFK Goteborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% Sirius, 16% draw, 19% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 1.54, 6.25 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sirius at 65% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Soumah
6'
M. Heier
19'
19'
K. Thordarson
⚽R. Ure
23'
45'
⚽S. Larsson (pen)
53'
T. Heintz
54'
🔁K. Thordarsonout: F. Ottosson
54'
🔁H. Hermannssonout: A. Jallow
🔁C. Nildenout: V. Svensson
60'
66'
🔁I. Seiduout: N. Tolf
66'
🔁S. Clemmensenout: S. Alioum
⚽M. Lindbergassist: I. Bjerkebo
71'
🔁O. Adinduout: A. Ljungberg
74'
🔁V. Ekstromout: S. Sandberg
74'
77'
D. Kruse
79'
🔁S. Larssonout: L. Radakovic
⚽A. Ljungberg
83'
87'
L. Radakovic
🔁M. Heierout: A. Wikman
88'

Match stats — Sirius vs IFK Goteborg

44%Possession56%
13Shots12
7On target4
4Corners4

Line-ups

Sirius 4-2-3-1
  • 34David CelicG
  • 5Henrik CastegrenD
  • 2Mohamed SoumahD
  • 4Tobias AnkerD
  • 20Victor EkstromD
  • 10Melker HeierM
  • 6Marcus LindbergM
  • 25Odera Samuel AdinduM
  • 21Charlie NildenM
  • 11Isak BjerkeboM
  • 9Robbie UreF
Substitutes
  • 24Victor SvenssonM
  • 15Simon SandbergD
  • 36August LjungbergF
  • 18Adam WikmanM
  • 1Ismael DiawaraG
  • 35Elliot EldD
  • 27Ben MagnussonD
  • 23Finlay NeatF
  • 37Munaser MohamudF
Coach: Andreas Engelmark
IFK Goteborg 4-3-3
  • 12Viktor AnderssonG
  • 3August ErlingmarkD
  • 4Rockson YeboahD
  • 6Hjörtur HermannssonD
  • 28Issaka SeiduD
  • 23Kolbeinn ThordarsonM
  • 15David KruseM
  • 8Sam LarssonM
  • 7Sebastian ClemmensenF
  • 29Adam Bergmark WibergF
  • 14Tobias HeintzF
Substitutes
  • 17Alexander JallowD
  • 16Filip OttossonM
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 11Saidou Alioum MoubarakF
  • 21Leo RadakovicM
  • 25Elis BishesariG
  • 5Jonas BagerD
  • 18Felix ErikssonD
  • 24Oliver ManssonF
Coach: Stefan Billborn

Form going into Sirius vs IFK Goteborg

Sirius

  • W3-1away to IF Elfsborg19 July 2026

IFK Goteborg

  • L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn21 July 2026
  • W2-1IF Brommapojkarna17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Sirius2115335027+2348
9IFK Goteborg218583041-1129

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sirius vs IFK Goteborg

  • 26 July 2026Sirius 4–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 15 March 2026Sirius 1–0 IFK GoteborgSvenska Cupen
  • 20 July 2025Sirius 0–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 6 July 2025IFK Goteborg 3–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 17 August 2024IFK Goteborg 1–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 16 May 2024Sirius 2–2 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Sirius and IFK Goteborg

Sirius

  • R. Ure15 goals2 assists
  • I. Bjerkebo13 goals5 assists

IFK Goteborg

  • S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
  • T. Heintz6 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.