CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv First League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% CSKA Sofia, 27% draw, 25% Botev Plovdiv — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CSKA Sofia at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 21Fedor LapoukhovG
- 3Tamimou OuorouD
- 32Facundo RodríguezD
- 14Teodor IvanovD
- 19Andrey YordanovD
- 7Max EbongM
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 30Petko PanayotovM
- 11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
- 10Joël ZwartsF
- 38Léo PereiraM
- 2PastorD
- 8Stefano SensiM
- 28Ioannis PittasF
- 17Ángelo MartinoD
- 5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
- 25Dimitar EvtimovG
- 15Aleks TunchevD
- 34Vasil KaymakanovM
- 94Isaac SoletM
- 29Daniel NaumovG
- 20Timothy AwanyD
- 87Simeon PetrovD
- 82Vladimir MendesD
- 27Bryan-Anthony Chibuike HeinD
- 10Asen ChandarovM
- 14Carlos Algarra LópezM
- 66Carlos MeottiM
- 7Nikola IlievM
- 90Samuel KaluM
- 9Chidera Micheal OkohF
- 17Georgi MilanovM
- 19Mauro RodriguesM
- 30Franklin MascoteF
- 4Nikola SoldoD
- 77Lucas AraujoM
- 1Hristiyan SlavkovG
- 15Bogdan KostovD
- 6Ivaylo VidevD
- 45Edson SilvaM
Form going into CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Qarabag23 July 2026
- D0-0away to Slavia Sofia20 July 2026
Botev Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 30 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
- 22 November 2025CSKA Sofia 2–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 19 July 2025Botev Plovdiv 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 26 May 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–4 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 9 May 2025CSKA Sofia 3–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 22 February 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: CSKA Sofia and Botev Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Jordão20
- I. Pittas10
Botev Plovdiv
GoalsAssists
- C. Meotti10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Sofia beat Botev Plovdiv 3–2. The model had made a win for CSKA Sofia its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Carlos Algarra López 38' for Botev Plovdiv, Joël Zwarts 41' for CSKA Sofia, Ioannis Pittas 90+1' for CSKA Sofia, Joël Zwarts 90' for CSKA Sofia, Asen Chandarov 90+4' for Botev Plovdiv.