27 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv First League prediction & result

National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Full time3 – 2

Final score: CSKA Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% CSKA Sofia, 27% draw, 25% Botev Plovdiv — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CSKA Sofia at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mohamed Amine Brahimi
19'
🔁Tamimou Ouorouout: Pastor
31'
38'
⚽Carlos Algarra López
⚽Joël Zwarts
41'
🔁Petko Panayotovout: Stefano Sensi
46'
🔁Mohamed Amine Brahimiout: Ioannis Pittas
46'
🔁Andrey Yordanovout: Ángelo Martino
62'
62'
🔁Carlos Meottiout: Mauro Rodrigues
62'
🔁Nikola Ilievout: Georgi Milanov
62'
🔁Chidera Micheal Okohout: Franklin Mascote
63'
Carlos Algarra López
69'
Timothy Awany
70'
🔁Timothy Awanyout: Nikola Soldo
🔁Bruno Jordãoout: Jean-Philippe Gbamin
73'
78'
Samuel Kalu
Joël Zwarts
84'
84'
🔁Samuel Kaluout: Lucas Araujo
⚽Ioannis Pittas
90+1'
⚽Joël Zwarts
90'
90+4'
⚽Asen Chandarov

Line-ups

CSKA Sofia 4-3-3
  • 21Fedor LapoukhovG
  • 3Tamimou OuorouD
  • 32Facundo RodríguezD
  • 14Teodor IvanovD
  • 19Andrey YordanovD
  • 7Max EbongM
  • 6Bruno JordãoM
  • 30Petko PanayotovM
  • 11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
  • 10Joël ZwartsF
  • 38Léo PereiraM
Substitutes
  • 2PastorD
  • 8Stefano SensiM
  • 28Ioannis PittasF
  • 17Ángelo MartinoD
  • 5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
  • 25Dimitar EvtimovG
  • 15Aleks TunchevD
  • 34Vasil KaymakanovM
  • 94Isaac SoletM
Coach: Hristo Yanev
Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
  • 29Daniel NaumovG
  • 20Timothy AwanyD
  • 87Simeon PetrovD
  • 82Vladimir MendesD
  • 27Bryan-Anthony Chibuike HeinD
  • 10Asen ChandarovM
  • 14Carlos Algarra LópezM
  • 66Carlos MeottiM
  • 7Nikola IlievM
  • 90Samuel KaluM
  • 9Chidera Micheal OkohF
Substitutes
  • 17Georgi MilanovM
  • 19Mauro RodriguesM
  • 30Franklin MascoteF
  • 4Nikola SoldoD
  • 77Lucas AraujoM
  • 1Hristiyan SlavkovG
  • 15Bogdan KostovD
  • 6Ivaylo VidevD
  • 45Edson SilvaM
Coach: Stanislav Genchev

Form going into CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv

CSKA Sofia

  • D0-0away to Qarabag23 July 2026
  • D0-0away to Slavia Sofia20 July 2026

Botev Plovdiv

  • D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia20 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3CSKA Sofia8620216+1520
6Botev Plovdiv94141314-113

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv

  • 27 July 2026CSKA Sofia 3–2 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 22 November 2025CSKA Sofia 2–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 19 July 2025Botev Plovdiv 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
  • 26 May 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–4 CSKA SofiaFirst League
  • 9 May 2025CSKA Sofia 3–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 22 February 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.