Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Wisla Plock.
Before kick-off the model made it 71% Raków Częstochowa, 20% draw, 9% Wisla Plock — fair odds of 1.41, 5.00 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Raków Częstochowa at 71% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Wiktor ZolneczkoG
- 7Fran TudorD
- 25Bogdan RacovițanD
- 4Stratos SvarnasD
- 20Jean Carlos SilvaM
- 6Oskar RepkaM
- 10Wladyslaw KocherhinM
- 26Erick OtienoM
- 9Patryk MakuchF
- 11Mahir EmreliF
- 21Tomasz PieńkoF
- 2Jerzy NapierajD
- 19Michael AmeyawM
- 88Ádin MolnárM
- 5Marko BulatM
- 99Adam BasseF
- 1Kacper TrelowskiG
- 71Tarik KarićG
- 39Isak BrusbergF
- 15Oliwier KwiatkowskiM
- 12Rafał LeszczyńskiG
- 4Marcus Haglind SangreD
- 35Marcin KamińskiD
- 3Marcin FlisD
- 21Žan RogeljM
- 17Adam RadwańskiM
- 8Dani PachecoM
- 23Patryk KunM
- 11JimeF
- 7Olaf KobackiF
- 10Said HamulićF
- 18Jurica PrširM
- 20Łukasz SekulskiF
- 6Krystian PomorskiM
- 16Fabian HiszpańskiM
- 26Jakub BurekG
- 5Marin KaramarkoD
- 19Dion GallapeniD
- 41Marcin WięckowskiD
- 91Gleb KuchkoM
Form going into Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Valletta FC23 July 2026
Wisla Plock
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock
- 1 February 2026Wisla Plock 2–1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
- 27 July 2025Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 21 May 2023Wisla Plock 1–2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
- 5 November 2022Raków Częstochowa 7–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 1 July 2022Wisla Plock 3–0 Raków CzęstochowaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Raków Częstochowa and Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa
GoalsAssists
- P. Makuch61
Wisla Plock
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wisla Plock won 2–1 at Raków Częstochowa. The model had leaned towards a win for Raków Częstochowa at 71% and given a win for Wisla Plock 9%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 11 matches like this one. The goals: M. Flis 37' for Wisla Plock, Z. Rogelj 49' for Wisla Plock, P. Makuch (penalty) 68' for Raków Częstochowa. On expected goals it finished 1.43–0.86.