27 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets First League prediction & result

Gradski stadion, Ruse
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-2 Ludogorets.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Dunav Ruse, 22% draw, 30% Ludogorets — fair odds of 2.08, 4.55 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dunav Ruse at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽B. Tekpetey
47'
⚽Rwan Cruz
🔁S. Gavrilovout: V. Vidakovic
59'
🔁A. Alvesout: I. Budinov
59'
71'
🔁A. Salido Tajeroout: Son
71'
🔁B. Tekpeteyout: E. Rodriguez
71'
🔁Rwan Cruzout: K. Duah
71'
🔁P. Stanicout: A. Camara
🔁K. Boychevout: I. Keita
78'
🔁D. Todorovout: S. Predev
78'
82'
I. Nachmias
88'
🔁A. Nedyalkovout: O. Verdon

Line-ups

Dunav Ruse 4-2-3-1
  • 33Georgi KitanovG
  • 39Andre AlvesD
  • 5Kyriakos AntoniouM
  • 4Jose CabarcasD
  • 88Dimitar TodorovD
  • 24Stefan GavrilovM
  • 14Radoslav ApostolovM
  • 2Mario Ivanov DilchovskiD
  • 10Kristiyan BoychevM
  • 11Denislav MinchevF
  • 9Alexander ValinoF
Substitutes
  • Vladan VidakovićM
  • 69Plamen PepelyashevG
  • 50Ilker BudinovD
  • 22Stojan PredevD
  • 6Stanislav YovkovD
  • 19Stefan StefanovM
  • 45Aleksandar DonevF
  • 18Ibrahim KeitaF
  • 77Aleksandar SimeonovF
Coach: Emanuel Lukanov
Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
  • 39Hendrik BonmannG
  • 2Joel AnderssonD
  • 55Idan NachmiasD
  • 42Simeon ShishkovD
  • 3Anton NedyalkovD
  • 18Ivajlo ChochevM
  • 26Filip KaločM
  • 7Alberto SalidoF
  • 14Petar StanićM
  • 37Bernard TekpeteyM
  • 12Rwan CruzF
Substitutes
  • 20Aguibou CamaraM
  • 9Kwadwo DuahF
  • 1Sergio PadtG
  • 27Vinicius NogueiraD
  • 24Olivier VerdonD
  • 22Mihail PolendakovD
  • 99Stanislav IvanovM
  • 40Aleksandar MarinovM
  • 29Yves Erick BileF
Coach: Thomas Reis

Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets

Dunav Ruse

  • L1-2away to Levski Sofia17 July 2026

Ludogorets

  • L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv23 July 2026
  • W1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Dunav Ruse9117817-94
2Ludogorets9720167+923

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets

  • 27 July 2026Dunav Ruse 0–2 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 29 May 2020Ludogorets 4–0 Dunav RuseFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 March 2020Ludogorets 5–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
  • 29 September 2019Dunav Ruse 0–1 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 16 December 2018Dunav Ruse 0–2 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 2 September 2018Ludogorets 3–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.