Dunav Ruse
vs
Ludogorets
Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-2 Ludogorets.
Before kick-off the model made it 17% Dunav Ruse, 25% draw, 58% Ludogorets — fair odds of 5.88, 4.00 and 1.72. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (14%).
Expected goals: Dunav Ruse 0.79, Ludogorets 1.68.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
Goals: B. Tekpetey 14' for Ludogorets, Rwan Cruz 47' for Ludogorets.
Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
- 27 July 2026Dunav Ruse 0–2 LudogoretsFirst League
- 29 May 2020Ludogorets 4–0 Dunav RuseFriendlies Clubs
- 8 March 2020Ludogorets 5–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 29 September 2019Dunav Ruse 0–1 LudogoretsFirst League
- 16 December 2018Dunav Ruse 0–2 LudogoretsFirst League
- 2 September 2018Ludogorets 3–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ludogorets the highest probability at 58%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.79 expected goals for Dunav Ruse against 1.68 for Ludogorets. Dunav Ruse's attack/defence rating is 0.42/2.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/0.99 for Ludogorets.