Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets First League prediction & result
Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-2 Ludogorets.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Dunav Ruse, 22% draw, 30% Ludogorets — fair odds of 2.08, 4.55 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dunav Ruse at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 33Georgi KitanovG
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 5Kyriakos AntoniouM
- 4Jose CabarcasD
- 88Dimitar TodorovD
- 24Stefan GavrilovM
- 14Radoslav ApostolovM
- 2Mario Ivanov DilchovskiD
- 10Kristiyan BoychevM
- 11Denislav MinchevF
- 9Alexander ValinoF
- Vladan VidakovićM
- 69Plamen PepelyashevG
- 50Ilker BudinovD
- 22Stojan PredevD
- 6Stanislav YovkovD
- 19Stefan StefanovM
- 45Aleksandar DonevF
- 18Ibrahim KeitaF
- 77Aleksandar SimeonovF
- 39Hendrik BonmannG
- 2Joel AnderssonD
- 55Idan NachmiasD
- 42Simeon ShishkovD
- 3Anton NedyalkovD
- 18Ivajlo ChochevM
- 26Filip KaločM
- 7Alberto SalidoF
- 14Petar StanićM
- 37Bernard TekpeteyM
- 12Rwan CruzF
- 20Aguibou CamaraM
- 9Kwadwo DuahF
- 1Sergio PadtG
- 27Vinicius NogueiraD
- 24Olivier VerdonD
- 22Mihail PolendakovD
- 99Stanislav IvanovM
- 40Aleksandar MarinovM
- 29Yves Erick BileF
Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
Dunav Ruse
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Levski Sofia17 July 2026
Ludogorets
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv23 July 2026
- W1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 11 |
| 4 | Ludogorets | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
- 29 May 2020Ludogorets 4–0 Dunav RuseFriendlies Clubs
- 8 March 2020Ludogorets 5–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 29 September 2019Dunav Ruse 0–1 LudogoretsFirst League
- 16 December 2018Dunav Ruse 0–2 LudogoretsFirst League
- 2 September 2018Ludogorets 3–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
Leading scorers: Dunav Ruse and Ludogorets
Dunav Ruse
GoalsAssists
- I. Budinov11
- Andre Alves10
Ludogorets
GoalsAssists
- B. Tekpetey20
- Rwan Cruz12
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ludogorets won 2–0 at Dunav Ruse. The model had leaned towards a win for Dunav Ruse at 48% and given a win for Ludogorets 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: B. Tekpetey 14' for Ludogorets, Rwan Cruz 47' for Ludogorets.