Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Legia Warszawa 5-0 Radomiak Radom.
Before kick-off the model made it 79% Legia Warszawa, 14% draw, 7% Radomiak Radom — fair odds of 1.27, 7.14 and 14.29.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Legia Warszawa at 79%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 89O. HindrichG
- 91K. PiatkowskiD
- 8R. AugustyniakD
- 5R. DezielD
- 4D. SzymanskiM
- 22P. WszolekM
- 23M. SevcikM
- 67B. KapustkaM
- 19R. VinagreM
- 79L. ZjawinskiF
- 9R. AdamskiF
- 59J. BiendugaG
- 24Z. ArsenicD
- 13A. RecaD
- 6H. ArreiolM
- 53W. UrbanskiM
- 20J. ZewlakowF
- 11K. ChodynaM
- 7J. KuchtaF
- 97E. MikanovichM
- 99B. GradeckiG
- 24Zie OuattaraD
- 3K. SzczesniakD
- 26A. DieguezD
- 97ConradoD
- 8I. CamaraM
- 90R. Lumungo
- 27R. WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 13J. GrzesikM
- 15A. TapsobaF
- 1F. MajchrowiczG
- 5J. BlascoD
- 47S. KilianekD
- 33O. MarkiewiczD
- 28R. BaroM
- 77C. DonisM
- 23K. KarasekM
- 72F. KoperskiM
- 17A. ZabickiM
Form going into Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Korona Kielce8 August 2026
- W3-1Zaglebie Lubin2 August 2026
- W1-0away to Pogon Szczecin24 July 2026
Radomiak Radom
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Gornik Zabrze8 August 2026
- L1-3away to GKS Katowice2 August 2026
- W2-1Wieczysta Kraków24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 24 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom
- 14 July 2026Legia Warszawa 3–1 Radomiak RadomFriendlies Clubs
- 13 March 2026Radomiak Radom 1–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 14 September 2025Legia Warszawa 4–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 22 February 2025Radomiak Radom 3–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 18 August 2024Legia Warszawa 4–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Legia Warszawa and Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Radomiak Radom
GoalsAssists
- J. Grzesik53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Legia Warszawa beat Radomiak Radom 5–0. The model had made a win for Legia Warszawa its most likely outcome, at 79%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: M. Sevcik 7' for Legia Warszawa, R. Augustyniak 10' for Legia Warszawa, R. Adamski 17' for Legia Warszawa, B. Kapustka 44' for Legia Warszawa, B. Kapustka 51' for Legia Warszawa. On expected goals it finished 1.68–0.38.