Celtic
vs
Dundee
The model makes it 65% Celtic, 18% draw, 17% Dundee — fair odds of 1.54, 5.56 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Celtic 2.51, Dundee 1.22.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Celtic vs Dundee
- 5 April 2026Dundee 1–2 CelticPremiership
- 7 February 2026Celtic 2–1 DundeeFA Cup
- 3 December 2025Celtic 1–0 DundeePremiership
- 19 October 2025Dundee 2–0 CelticPremiership
- 5 February 2025Celtic 6–0 DundeePremiership
- 14 January 2025Dundee 3–3 CelticPremiership
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Celtic the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.51 expected goals for Celtic against 1.22 for Dundee. Celtic's attack/defence rating is 0.73/1.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.82 for Dundee.