Zalaegerszegi TE
vs
Paks
The model makes it 11% Zalaegerszegi TE, 18% draw, 71% Paks — fair odds of 9.09, 5.56 and 1.41. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (11%).
Expected goals: Zalaegerszegi TE 0.85, Paks 2.40.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paks
- 14 March 2026Paks 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 29 November 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 1–0 PaksNB I
- 17 August 2025Paks 2–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 22 April 2025Paks 2–1 Zalaegerszegi TEMagyar Kupa
- 29 March 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 1–1 PaksNB I
- 24 November 2024Paks 2–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Paks the highest probability at 71%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.85 expected goals for Zalaegerszegi TE against 2.4 for Paks. Zalaegerszegi TE's attack/defence rating is 0.36/1.73 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.99/1.25 for Paks.