FCSB vs Farul Constanta Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FCSB 2-2 Farul Constanta.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FCSB, 26% draw, 30% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FCSB at 44% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FCSB vs Farul Constanta
Line-ups
- 13Matei PopaG
- 97Ronny LabonneD
- 5Joyskim DawaD
- 21Dylan BatubinsikaD
- 4Ricardo PădurariuD
- 28Aymen BoutoutaouM
- 8Eddy GnahoréM
- 22Mihai TomaM
- 31Juri CisottiF
- 9Daniel BîrligeaF
- 7Octavian PopescuF
- 10Florin TănaseM
- 2Valentin CrețuD
- 18João PauloM
- 90Alexandru StoianF
- 20Dennis PoliticF
- 1Rareș AndreiG
- 34Mihai UdreaG
- 77Luca StancuM
- 6Andrei DăncuşD
- 12Rafael MunteanuG
- 22Dan SîrbuD
- 24Sofyane BouzamouchaD
- 6Victor DicanD
- 4Gustavo MarinsD
- 3Valentin ȚicuD
- 10Eddy SylvestreM
- 23Tony NjikéM
- 70Matteo AhlinviM
- 20Eduard RadaslavescuM
- 19Iustin DoicaruF
- 71Răzvan TănasăM
- 27Ionuț CojocaruF
- 17Ionuț LarieD
- 18Luca BanuM
- 29Alexandru GoncearM
- 1Alexandru BuzbuchiG
- 5Alexandru DuțuD
- 33João FerreiraD
- 80Nicolas PopescuM
Form going into FCSB vs Farul Constanta
FCSB
- L1-4away to Auda30 July 2026
- W2-0away to Csikszereda26 July 2026
- L2-3Auda23 July 2026
- W2-0Arges Pitesti17 July 2026
Farul Constanta
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FCSB | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 | Farul Constanta | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FCSB vs Farul Constanta
- 3 August 2026FCSB 2–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 20 April 2026Farul Constanta 2–3 FCSBLiga I
- 30 November 2025Farul Constanta 1–2 FCSBLiga I
- 26 July 2025FCSB 1–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 15 December 2024Farul Constanta 1–1 FCSBLiga I
- 9 August 2024FCSB 3–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Leading scorers: FCSB and Farul Constanta
FCSB
- D. Bîrligea3 goals
Farul Constanta
- E. Rădăslăvescu5 goals2 assists
- M. Ahlinvi3 goals1 assists
- Iustin Doicaru3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.