FCSB vs Farul Constanta Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FCSB 2-2 Farul Constanta.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FCSB, 26% draw, 30% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FCSB at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FCSB vs Farul Constanta
Line-ups
- 13Matei PopaG
- 97Ronny LabonneD
- 5Joyskim DawaD
- 21Dylan BatubinsikaD
- 4Ricardo PădurariuD
- 28Aymen BoutoutaouM
- 8Eddy GnahoréM
- 22Mihai TomaM
- 31Juri CisottiF
- 9Daniel BîrligeaF
- 7Octavian PopescuF
- 10Florin TănaseM
- 2Valentin CrețuD
- 18João PauloM
- 90Alexandru StoianF
- 20Dennis PoliticF
- 1Rareș AndreiG
- 34Mihai UdreaG
- 77Luca StancuM
- 6Andrei DăncuşD
- 12Rafael MunteanuG
- 22Dan SîrbuD
- 24Sofyane BouzamouchaD
- 6Victor DicanD
- 4Gustavo MarinsD
- 3Valentin ȚicuD
- 10Eddy SylvestreM
- 23Tony NjikéM
- 70Matteo AhlinviM
- 20Eduard RadaslavescuM
- 19Iustin DoicaruF
- 71Răzvan TănasăM
- 27Ionuț CojocaruF
- 17Ionuț LarieD
- 18Luca BanuM
- 29Alexandru GoncearM
- 1Alexandru BuzbuchiG
- 5Alexandru DuțuD
- 33João FerreiraD
- 80Nicolas PopescuM
Form going into FCSB vs Farul Constanta
FCSB
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Auda30 July 2026
- W2-0away to Csikszereda26 July 2026
- L2-3Auda23 July 2026
- W2-0Arges Pitesti17 July 2026
Farul Constanta
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 July 2026
What these results say
- FCSB scored in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FCSB | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 21 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FCSB vs Farul Constanta
- 20 April 2026Farul Constanta 2–3 FCSBLiga I
- 30 November 2025Farul Constanta 1–2 FCSBLiga I
- 26 July 2025FCSB 1–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 15 December 2024Farul Constanta 1–1 FCSBLiga I
- 9 August 2024FCSB 3–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Leading scorers: FCSB and Farul Constanta
FCSB
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Farul Constanta
GoalsAssists
- M. Ahlinvi61
- E. Rădăslăvescu53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FCSB and Farul Constanta drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FCSB at 44% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: I. Doicaru 21' for Farul Constanta, E. Radaslavescu 45+1' for Farul Constanta, J. Dawa 57' for FCSB, Joao Paulo 86' for FCSB.