Liga I · Regular Season - 3 · 3 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

FCSB vs Farul Constanta

Arena Nationala, Bucharest

The model makes it 44% FCSB, 26% draw, 30% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: FCSB 1.55, Farul Constanta 1.25.

Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

57%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%2-1 9%1-0 9%

Head-to-head: FCSB vs Farul Constanta

  • 20 April 2026Farul Constanta 2–3 FCSBLiga I
  • 30 November 2025Farul Constanta 1–2 FCSBLiga I
  • 26 July 2025FCSB 1–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 15 December 2024Farul Constanta 1–1 FCSBLiga I
  • 9 August 2024FCSB 3–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 27 April 2024FCSB 2–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FCSB the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.55 expected goals for FCSB against 1.25 for Farul Constanta. FCSB's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.33 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.32 for Farul Constanta.