26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon League One prediction & result

Abbey Stadium, Cambridge
Referee: B. Toner
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Cambridge United 1-1 AFC Wimbledon.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Cambridge United, 28% draw, 23% AFC Wimbledon — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cambridge United at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cambridge United0%Draw5%AFC Wimbledon95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
⚽Jayden Stockleyassist: Andy Yiadom
36'
🔁Dujuan Richardsout: Zack Nelson
🔁Glenn McConnellout: Shayne Lavery
45'
52'
Andy Yiadom
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
59'
Kelland Watts
62'
74'
🔁Callum Maycockout: Donnell McNeilly
🔁Owen Moxonout: George Hoddle
79'
🔁Gassan Ahadmeout: Louis Appere
79'
⚽Zak·Bradshawassist: Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
90+1'
90+2'
🔁Aron Sasuout: Riley Horan
90+5'
Steve Seddon

Match stats — Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon

63%Possession37%
18Shots7
5On target3
8Corners1

Line-ups

Cambridge United 3-4-2-1
  • 1J. EastwoodG
  • 15Cathal Séan Heffernan AndrewsD
  • 6K. WattsD
  • 22Z. BradshawD
  • 8O. MoxonM
  • 4D. BallM
  • 17P. MpanzuM
  • 7Isaac HeathM
  • 10B. KnightM
  • 27G. McConnellM
  • 14G. YahyaiF
Substitutes
  • 30L. McDougaldM
  • 9L. AppéréF
  • 13G. BreezeG
  • 32D. EfobiF
  • 33D. HerdD
  • 38G. HoddleM
  • 19S. LaveryF
Coach: N. Harris
AFC Wimbledon 5-4-1
  • 39J. BursikG
  • 17A. YiadomD
  • 33I. OgundereD
  • 26D. SweeneyD
  • 3S. SeddonD
  • 29A. SasuD
  • 31D. RichardsM
  • 5O. HarrisonM
  • 12A. SmithM
  • 8C. MaycockM
  • 9J. StockleyF
Substitutes
  • 37Robin AshamuM
  • 20J. McDonnellG
  • 19Donnell McNeillyF
  • 10Z. NelsonM
  • 22R. HoranD
Coach: J. Jackson

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Cambridge United145632121021
18AFC Wimbledon13346921-1213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon

  • 26 March 2022AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Cambridge UnitedLeague One
  • 30 October 2021Cambridge United 1–0 AFC WimbledonLeague One
  • 2 January 2016Cambridge United 1–4 AFC WimbledonLeague Two
  • 18 August 2015AFC Wimbledon 1–2 Cambridge UnitedLeague Two
  • 24 February 2015Cambridge United 0–0 AFC WimbledonLeague Two

Leading scorers: Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon

Cambridge United

GoalsAssists

  • B. Knight42

AFC Wimbledon

GoalsAssists

  • J. Stockley61

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Cambridge United at 49% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jayden Stockley 30' for AFC Wimbledon, Zak·Bradshaw 90+1' for Cambridge United.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.