26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

York vs Gillingham League Two prediction & result

York Community Stadium, York
Full time3 – 0

Final score: York 3-0 Gillingham.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% York, 26% draw, 27% Gillingham — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

York at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

York99%Draw1%Gillingham0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Joey Greyassist: Ollie Pearce
2'
19'
🔁W. Goodwinout: Zane Albarus
31'
🔁Eli Kingout: Garath McCleary
37'
Omar Beckles
45+1'
Robbie McKenzie
Joey Grey
45+3'
50'
Garath McCleary
🔁Alex Newbyout: jovan malcolm
57'
60'
Zane Albarus
65'
🔁Logan Dobbsout: S. Kendall
65'
🔁Ronan Chapman Haleout: Bradley Dack
65'
🔁Andy Smithout: Jack Daley
70'
Zane Albarus
⚽jovan malcolmassist: Harry Boyes
75'
⚽Ollie Pearceassist: Harry Boyes
79'
🔁Ollie Banksout: Jeff King
81'
🔁Joey Greyout: Frankie Maguire
81'
🔁Joseph Rabole Felixout: Arthur Read
81'

Match stats — York vs Gillingham

65%Possession35%
17Shots6
6On target0
4Corners2

Line-ups

York 3-4-2-1
  • 1Alfie Shane McNallyG
  • 2R. FallowfieldD
  • 5Z. JohnsonD
  • 3M. KitchingD
  • 23J. FelixM
  • 28O. BanksM
  • 8A. HuntM
  • 12H. BoyesM
  • 7J. GreyM
  • 30A. NewbyM
  • 10O. PearceF
Substitutes
  • 32J. HuntD
  • 15J. KingD
  • 11F. MaguireM
  • 18J. MalcolmF
  • 6A. PalmerD
  • 16A. ReadM
  • 31G. Sykes-KenworthyG
Coach: S. Lindsey
Gillingham 3-4-3
  • 1O. WrightG
  • 5A. SmithD
  • 19O. BecklesD
  • 26L. DobbsD
  • 22N. FreemanM
  • 16J. BrophyM
  • 14R. McKenzieM
  • 34E. KingM
  • 10Ronan HaleF
  • 9W. GoodwinF
  • 24H. WaldockF
Substitutes
  • 17C. AntwiM
  • 23B. DackM
  • 40R. LuthraG
  • 12G. McClearyM
  • 18S. KendallM
  • 20J. DaleyD
  • 15Z. AlbarusM
Coach: G. Ainsworth

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7York145542421+320
8Gillingham145542019+120

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: York vs Gillingham

  • 12 February 2013York 0–0 GillinghamLeague Two
  • 26 January 2013Gillingham 1–1 YorkLeague Two

Leading scorers: York and Gillingham

York

GoalsAssists

  • O. Pearce64
  • A. Newby61

Gillingham

GoalsAssists

  • Ronan Hale61

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

York beat Gillingham 3–0. The model had made a win for York its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Joey Grey 2' for York, jovan malcolm 75' for York, Ollie Pearce 79' for York. Sent off: Zane Albarus (Gillingham) 70'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.