26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Tranmere vs Walsall League Two prediction & result

Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Tranmere 1-1 Walsall.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Tranmere, 30% draw, 37% Walsall — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Walsall at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tranmere96%Draw4%Walsall0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Sven Sprangler
35'
James Connolly
⚽Joe Ironside (pen)
35'
58'
🔁Sven Spranglerout: Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
🔁Joe Ironsideout: Dylan Jones
61'
🔁Zane Okoroout: Jordan·Davies
71'
⚽B. Faulknerassist: Will Vaulks
73'
76'
🔁Elicha Ahuiout: Ryan Leak
77'
🔁Andrew Dallasout: Albert Adomah
82'
Isaac Moore
87'
🔁Lewis Simperout: Will Etheridge
🔁Charlie Jay Whitakerout: Lee O'Connor
89'
🔁Tom Conlonout: Sam Finley
89'
90+1'
⚽Reece Smithassist: Will Etheridge

Match stats — Tranmere vs Walsall

45%Possession55%
21Shots7
11On target2
6Corners5

Line-ups

Tranmere 4-2-3-1
  • 12H. MaleG
  • 2J. SeniorD
  • 16B. FaulknerD
  • 5N. SmithD
  • 3J. SlaterD
  • 6W. VaulksM
  • 11T. ConlonM
  • 17Z. OkoroM
  • 10T. InceM
  • 7Charlie Jay WhitakerM
  • 9J. IronsideF
Substitutes
  • 13C. Boyce-ClarkeG
  • 23P. BroughD
  • 15J. DaviesM
  • 8S. FinleyM
  • 24David KamaraF
  • 22L. O'ConnorD
  • 29D. JonesF
Coach: D. Clarke
Walsall 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. WardG
  • 22E. AhuiD
  • 25D. SkuraD
  • 4J. ConnollyD
  • 3M. HancockD
  • 15Isaac MooreM
  • 6S. SpranglerM
  • 10L. SimperM
  • 9A. DallasM
  • 11R. SmithM
  • 19A. PressleyF
Substitutes
  • 31Tom WoosterG
  • 7Taione Richard Evumena SodjeF
  • 26R. LeakD
  • 29J. FurlongD
  • 57R. SjordesmaM
  • 53Will EtheridgeM
  • 37A. AdomahF
Coach: Lee Grant

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Tranmere144731917+219
3Walsall135712112+922

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Tranmere vs Walsall

  • 17 January 2026Tranmere 1–3 WalsallLeague Two
  • 20 September 2025Walsall 4–2 TranmereLeague Two
  • 11 January 2025Walsall 5–1 TranmereLeague Two
  • 24 August 2024Tranmere 1–0 WalsallLeague Two
  • 6 April 2024Tranmere 1–3 WalsallLeague Two

Leading scorers: Tranmere and Walsall

Tranmere

GoalsAssists

  • D. Jones50

Walsall

GoalsAssists

  • A. Pressley90

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Tranmere and Walsall drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Walsall at 37% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: B. Faulkner 73' for Tranmere, Reece Smith 90+1' for Walsall.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.