Sonderjyske vs Randers FC Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Sonderjyske 4-2 Randers FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Sonderjyske, 28% draw, 36% Randers FC — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sonderjyske at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sonderjyske vs Randers FC
Line-ups
- 24N. ShintonG
- 3A. MunksgaardD
- 12M. SoulasD
- 25B. BjarnasonD
- 23E. DuruD
- 17A. HoegM
- 6R. VinderslevM
- 31I. SeydiM
- 8M. HaidaraM
- 13D. WilkinsM
- 11O. De RosarioF
- 28A. PedersenM
- 33J. ChristensenM
- 7S. EminiM
- 1N. FløG
- 14T. HaltvikM
- 9M. HoppeF
- 22A. OggesenM
- 26B. TambedouF
- 30G. WagnerD
- 1P. IzzoG
- 29S. StukerD
- 3D. HøeghD
- 24S. HansenD
- 44N. DyhrD
- 8L. PedersenM
- 17M. GreveM
- 7M. ThemsenM
- 11E. MahmoudM
- 15M. SjølstadM
- 77K. JunkerF
- 10W. CaddyF
- 36A. CamaraF
- 21A. HenrikssonM
- 5O. JonesD
- 26H. HoyrupM
- 30M. SankohF
- 25O. SeckM
- 32J. StorchG
- 54Gustav Bøgild NørøxeD
Form going into Sonderjyske vs Randers FC
Sonderjyske
Superliga
- D1-1away to Lyngby13 September 2026
Randers FC
Superliga
- L1-2Odense13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 8 |
| 10 | Randers FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs Randers FC
- 26 June 2026Randers FC 2–4 SonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs
- 26 October 2025Randers FC 0–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 12 September 2025Sonderjyske 0–1 Randers FCSuperliga
- 2 November 2024Sonderjyske 1–4 Randers FCSuperliga
- 18 August 2024Randers FC 1–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and Randers FC
Sonderjyske
GoalsAssists
- M. Haidara50
- O. De Rosario32
Randers FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Themsen41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sonderjyske beat Randers FC 4–2. The goals: Osaze De Rosario 25' for Sonderjyske, Elies Mahmoud 36' for Randers FC, Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason 45' for Sonderjyske, Mohamed Cherif 49' for Sonderjyske, Mohamed Sankoh 66' for Randers FC, Ismaïl Seydi 78' for Sonderjyske.
How the call on Sonderjyske v Randers FC has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 36% / 28% / 36%: the biggest move is Randers FC's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Sonderjyske win36%▼ −4
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Randers FC win36%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.