Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Viborg 4-1 FC Nordsjaelland.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Viborg, 29% draw, 33% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Viborg at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
Line-ups
- 20K. KiilerichG
- 26Hjalte BidstrupD
- 4L. KirkegaardD
- 24D. AnyembeD
- 23O. BundgaardD
- 8A. BeckM
- 13J. GrønningM
- 6M. SøndergaardM
- 10S. JalalF
- 19Dorian HanzaF
- 11C. NouckF
- 18R. AlteM
- 28L. CoulibalyM
- 33Frederik DamkjerM
- 36Adam Kleis-KristoffersenF
- 1L. LundG
- 38E. MonradD
- 25GiulioF
- 34Philip KellerM
- 13A. HansenG
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 25V. NelssonD
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 5J. LähteenmäkiM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 6M. BrinkM
- 23R. NorheimM
- 40H. Boe RasmussenF
- 11A. LindF
- 10P. AmoakoF
- 47M. HeydeM
- 37Lamine SadioM
- 9O. SolbakkenF
- 42M. TukaD
- 28M. WalkerD
- 22C. ErikssonG
- 29V. BerthelsenM
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 15S. AcquahD
Form going into Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
Viborg
Superliga
- D1-1away to Silkeborg13 September 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
- W2-0Aarhus13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Viborg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
- 26 April 2026Viborg 1–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 19 April 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 ViborgSuperliga
- 1 March 2026Viborg 2–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 25 August 2025FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 ViborgSuperliga
- 3 November 2024FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 ViborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland
Viborg
GoalsAssists
- Dorian Hanza51
- C. Nouck33
- M. Søndergaard32
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- A. Lind41
- H. Boe Rasmussen32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viborg beat FC Nordsjaelland 4–1. The model had made a win for Viborg its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mads Søndergaard Clausen 16' for Viborg, Alexander Lind 26' for FC Nordsjaelland, Dorian Hanza 33' for Viborg, Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman 41' for Viborg, Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen 81' for Viborg.
How the call on Viborg v FC Nordsjaelland has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 40% / 28% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Viborg's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Viborg win38%▼ −2
- Draw29%▲ +1
- FC Nordsjaelland win33%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.