Brann vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Brann 0-2 Viking.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Brann, 25% draw, 45% Viking — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Viking at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brann vs Viking
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12S. NilsenG
- 23T. PedersenD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 21N. KasanwirjoD
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 16K. EriksenM
- 18J. SørensenM
- 19E. GuðmundssonM
- 22S. MagnússonF
- 29N. HolmF
- 15J. TorsvikF
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 11B. FinneF
- 7K. KjartanssonM
- 39J. LægreidF
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 25N. Jensen WassbergM
- 41Andreas WilhelmsenD
- 43B. HaugenM
- 1A. ØstbøG
- 5H. HeggheimD
- 6G. StensnessD
- 25H. FalchenerD
- 28K. HaugenD
- 16H. BjørdalM
- 8J. BellM
- 7K. AskildsenM
- 10Z. TripićM
- 20P. ChristiansenF
- 22E. BotheimF
- 33J. HansenM
- 2H. HaugenD
- 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
- 29T. MoiM
- 11R. PostemaF
- 23N. FuglestadF
- 27J. DalandD
- 30Ľ. BelkoG
- 24Vetle AuklendD
Form going into Brann vs Viking
Brann
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Bodo/Glimt20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Start13 September 2026
- L1-2Lillestrom5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sandefjord30 August 2026
- W3-2PAOK27 August 2026
Viking
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Lillestrom20 September 2026
- W8-1Kristiansund BK13 September 2026
- L1-3away to VfB Stuttgart9 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sandefjord4 September 2026
- W2-1Aalesund30 August 2026
What these results say
- Brann conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Viking conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Viking had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 33 |
| 1 | Viking | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 69 | 27 | +42 | 62 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brann vs Viking
- 18 April 2026Viking 3–2 BrannEliteserien
- 5 October 2025Viking 3–0 BrannEliteserien
- 13 July 2025Brann 3–1 VikingEliteserien
- 14 February 2025Brann 2–2 VikingFriendlies Clubs
- 1 December 2024Brann 1–1 VikingEliteserien
- 14 April 2024Viking 1–1 BrannEliteserien
Leading scorers: Brann and Viking
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm83
- K. Ingason83
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen187
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viking won 2–0 at Brann. The model had made a win for Viking its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Henrik Heggheim 11' for Viking, Peter Christiansen 20' for Viking. Sent off: Kristoffer Askildsen (Viking) 39'. On expected goals it finished 2.61–1.27.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Brann a 11.6% chance to finish in the top four: 19.6% after a win, 10.0% after a draw, 6.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.5%, 5.1 points lower than before the match.
For Viking the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 39.8% going in: 47.6% after a win, 38.1% after a draw, 28.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.6%, 7.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Brann v Viking has moved
First published on 25 Sep at 31% / 27% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 30% / 25% / 45%: the biggest move is Viking's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Brann win30%▼ −1
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Viking win45%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.