Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Daejeon Citizen, 27% draw, 34% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Daejeon Citizen at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
Line-ups
- 25Lee Jun-SeoG
- 33Kim Moon-HwanD
- 45Ha Chang-RaeD
- 4Jo Seong-KwonD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 8Victor BobsinM
- 11Um Won-SangM
- 14Kim Jun-BumM
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 9Diogo de OliveiraF
- 7M. IshidaF
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 3Kim Min-DukD
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 29Geon-ho MoonF
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 23Kim Tae-HwanD
- 5Park Ji-SooD
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 77Kim Tae-HyunD
- 16João GamboaM
- 97Kim Jin-GyuM
- 7Lee Dong-JunM
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 9Tiago OrobóF
- 3Yeon Je-UnD
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 1Lee Ju-HyunG
- 11Kim Seung-SubF
- 13Kang Sang-YoonM
- 95ItaloF
- 30DodozinhoM
- 66Choi Woo-JinD
- 99Bruno MotaF
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
Daejeon Citizen
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Incheon United20 September 2026
- D2-2Pohang Steelers12 September 2026
- W3-2FC Anyang9 September 2026
- W5-0away to Bucheon FC 19955 September 2026
- L1-3away to Jeju United FC30 August 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Gwangju FC20 September 2026
- L1-2FC Seoul12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Gangwon FC9 September 2026
- W2-0Pohang Steelers5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Incheon United30 August 2026
What these results say
- Daejeon Citizen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Daejeon Citizen conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Daejeon Citizen had three goals or more.
- Jeonbuk Motors scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
- 21 July 2026Jeonbuk Motors 0–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 21 March 2026Daejeon Citizen 0–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 8 November 2025Jeonbuk Motors 3–1 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 13 September 2025Jeonbuk Motors 1–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 14 May 2025Daejeon Citizen 2–3 Jeonbuk MotorsFA Cup
- 6 May 2025Jeonbuk Motors 1–1 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
Leading scorers: Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk Motors
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Diogo de Oliveira62
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó100
- Lee Seung-Woo44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Daejeon Citizen beat Jeonbuk Motors 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Daejeon Citizen at 39%. The goals: Tiago Orobó 45' for Jeonbuk Motors, Masatoshi Ishida 56' for Daejeon Citizen, Diogo Oliveira 84' for Daejeon Citizen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Daejeon Citizen a 20.3% chance to finish in the top four: 40.9% after a win, 9.5% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.9%, 20.6 points higher than before the match.
For Jeonbuk Motors the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 63.4% going in: 89.1% after a win, 66.0% after a draw, 42.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 42.8%, 20.6 points lower than before the match.
Read from our K League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Motors has moved
First published on 25 Sep at 37% / 29% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 39% / 27% / 34%: the biggest move is Daejeon Citizen's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Daejeon Citizen win39%▲ +2
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Jeonbuk Motors win34%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.