Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Kristiansund BK.
Before kick-off the model made it 78% Bodo/Glimt, 14% draw, 8% Kristiansund BK — fair odds of 1.28, 7.14 and 12.50.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Bodo/Glimt at 78%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12N. HaikinG
- 20F. SjøvoldD
- 4O. BjørtuftD
- 6J. GundersenD
- 15F. BjørkanD
- 8S. AuklendM
- 7P. BergM
- 19S. FetM
- 10J. HaugeM
- 11O. Didrik BlombergF
- 17O. BrynhildsenF
- 2V. NielsenD
- 22J. MvukaM
- 25I. MäättäD
- 1J. Faye LundG
- 21A. HelmersenF
- 5H. AleesamiD
- 14U. SaltnesM
- 28Assan SanyangM
- 32K. SolhaugM
- 1M. LansingG
- 59M. ElviusD
- 4J. JúlíussonD
- 5D. UlvestadD
- 6J. IsaksenD
- 24G. ChristensenD
- 16D. TufekcicM
- 10H. BrusethM
- 23T. SvendsenM
- 20W. IgorM
- 19L. AlvheimF
- 17M. WilliamsenD
- 3F. FlexD
- 22H. HaugenD
- 8E. IsufiM
- 25J. KitolanoD
- 27A. RønningF
- 12A. SætherG
- 14S. SkeideM
Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Brann20 September 2026
- W3-2Sandefjord14 September 2026
- L0-5away to Bayern München10 September 2026
- W2-1away to Fredrikstad4 September 2026
- W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
Kristiansund BK
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Rosenborg19 September 2026
- L1-8away to Viking13 September 2026
- W2-0Tromso6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Ham-Kam30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Fredrikstad16 August 2026
What these results say
- Bodo/Glimt conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Bodo/Glimt had three goals or more.
- Bodo/Glimt scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 63 | 23 | +40 | 62 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
- 6 April 2026Kristiansund BK 0–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 12 September 2025Bodo/Glimt 7–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 5 July 2025Kristiansund BK 1–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 29 September 2024Bodo/Glimt 4–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 12 May 2024Kristiansund BK 2–4 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
GoalsAssists
- A. Helmersen132
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim120
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bodo/Glimt beat Kristiansund BK 3–1. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 78%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: Ola Brynhildsen 44' for Bodo/Glimt, Leander Alvheim 66' for Kristiansund BK, Frederik Flex (own goal) 72' for Bodo/Glimt, Andreas Helmersen 79' for Bodo/Glimt. On expected goals it finished 4.05–0.27.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bodo/Glimt a 49.9% chance to finish top of the regular season: 52.5% after a win, 38.0% after a draw, 30.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 52.5%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.
For Kristiansund BK the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 72.7% going in: 54.8% after a win, 68.8% after a draw, 74.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 74.4%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Bodo/Glimt v Kristiansund BK has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 69% / 19% / 12% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 78% / 14% / 8%: the biggest move is Bodo/Glimt's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Bodo/Glimt win78%▲ +9
- Draw14%▼ −5
- Kristiansund BK win8%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.