Kalmar FF vs BK Hacken Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Kalmar FF 0-5 BK Hacken.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kalmar FF, 31% draw, 30% BK Hacken — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kalmar FF at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kalmar FF vs BK Hacken
Line-ups
- 1S. BrolinG
- 26M. YlitolvaD
- 4J. LöfgrenD
- 47A. KeitaD
- 2V. LarssonD
- 25N. ShamounM
- 17C. GustafssonM
- 22T. LauritsenM
- 10M. SöderbäckM
- 5M. HallbergF
- 24C. SagoeF
- 20A. AlmqvistD
- 32C. AnderssonG
- 7N. ChourakM
- 19E. DallF
- 21A. MagashyM
- 3S. ØverbyD
- 9M. StoltF
- 27F. BjorklundD
- 99E. BerishaG
- 5B. WembangomoD
- 13H. HilveniusD
- 22F. HelanderD
- 23O. SamuelssonD
- 19D. SegerM
- 6A. DoumbiaM
- 20A. SvanbäckM
- 10M. RygaardM
- 11Julius LindbergM
- 9G. LindgrenF
- 15L. VäisänenD
- 24Bamir SadikuF
- 1A. LindeG
- 18W. UhrströmM
- 32H. IbrahimM
- 8S. HestnesM
- 14M. HaalandM
- 7M. AggerF
- 45Philip PawlowskiM
Form going into Kalmar FF vs BK Hacken
Kalmar FF
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to IF Elfsborg13 September 2026
- L0-1Djurgardens IF7 September 2026
- L0-1away to Halmstad29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Vasteras SK FK23 August 2026
- L0-4Hammarby FF16 August 2026
BK Hacken
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Mjallby AIF11 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gais5 September 2026
- L1-3Vasteras SK FK29 August 2026
- W3-0away to Sirius21 August 2026
- W1-0Halmstad17 August 2026
What these results say
- Kalmar FF did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Kalmar FF failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kalmar FF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- BK Hacken scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 22 |
| 4 | BK Hacken | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 47 | 30 | +17 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kalmar FF vs BK Hacken
- 1 August 2026BK Hacken 1–1 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 10 November 2024Kalmar FF 1–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 28 June 2024Kalmar FF 3–2 BK HackenFriendlies Clubs
- 12 May 2024BK Hacken 3–1 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 24 September 2023Kalmar FF 1–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Kalmar FF and BK Hacken
Kalmar FF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.
BK Hacken
GoalsAssists
- G. Lindgren131
- Julius Lindberg98
- A. Svanbäck78
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
BK Hacken won 5–0 at Kalmar FF. The model had leaned towards a win for Kalmar FF at 39% and given a win for BK Hacken 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Gustav Lindgren 3' for BK Hacken, Gustav Lindgren 35' for BK Hacken, Gustav Lindgren 48' for BK Hacken, adrian svanback 56' for BK Hacken, Julius Lindberg 64' for BK Hacken.
How the call on Kalmar FF v BK Hacken has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 34% / 31% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 39% / 31% / 30%: the biggest move is Kalmar FF's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Kalmar FF win39%▲ +5
- Draw31%=
- BK Hacken win30%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.