Bradford vs Leyton Orient League One prediction & result
Final score: Bradford 0-0 Leyton Orient.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Bradford, 31% draw, 25% Leyton Orient — fair odds of 2.27, 3.23 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Bradford at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bradford vs Leyton Orient
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21J. McCrackenG
- 28M. PenningtonD
- 15A. BaldwinD
- 16George Christopher John PrattD
- 19K. JacksonM
- 10A. SarcevicM
- 6C. ConnollyM
- 3I. TourayM
- 8A. PhillipsM
- 23B. PointonM
- 9J. BeesleyF
- 24W. SwanF
- 22Kieran MorganM
- 27C. O'KeeffeD
- 25N. PowellM
- 1C. DawsonG
- 5M. GillespheyD
- 32G. LapslieM
- 1N. BaxterG
- 5J. OlowuD
- 6W. ForresterD
- 12A. GilchristD
- 2F. StevensM
- 20A. GilbertM
- 14I. HaydenM
- 3J. MorrisM
- 22Y. AkhamrichM
- 9J. KabiaM
- 18D. ScarlettF
- 10A. ConnollyF
- 17A. DobraF
- 8I. El MizouniM
- 27T. SpringettF
- 25Charlie Gerard Richard WellensM
- 34P. ChineduD
- 33Killian CahillG
Form going into Bradford vs Leyton Orient
Bradford
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Reading3 October 2026
Leyton Orient
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Plymouth3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bradford vs Leyton Orient
- 8 September 2026Leyton Orient 1–3 BradfordLeague Cup
- 7 March 2026Bradford 2–1 Leyton OrientLeague One
- 20 December 2025Leyton Orient 2–1 BradfordLeague One
- 8 May 2023Bradford 1–1 Leyton OrientLeague Two
- 3 December 2022Leyton Orient 3–0 BradfordLeague Two
Leading scorers: Bradford and Leyton Orient
Bradford
No player in League One's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Leyton Orient
GoalsAssists
- J. Kabia42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bradford and Leyton Orient drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Bradford at 44% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.30–0.35.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bradford a 32.2% chance to finish in the top four: 35.1% after a win, 30.4% after a draw, 27.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 30.4%, 1.8 points lower than before the match.
For Leyton Orient the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 10.5% going in: 7.5% after a win, 10.1% after a draw, 11.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 10.1%.
Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Bradford v Leyton Orient has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 41% / 31% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 31% / 25%: the biggest move is Bradford's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Bradford win44%▲ +3
- Draw31%=
- Leyton Orient win25%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.