Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday League One prediction & result
Final score: Huddersfield 2-2 Sheffield Wednesday.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Huddersfield, 27% draw, 28% Sheffield Wednesday — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Huddersfield at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. YoungG
- 12R. BalkerD
- 3M. WallaceD
- 15I. BowatD
- 22I. BronkhorstM
- 8A. CollinsM
- 20C. HumphreysM
- 19B. MumbaM
- 30D. Sanches FernandesM
- 9J. TaylorM
- 25B. RadulovićF
- 31J. AlnwickG
- 14E. BrierleyM
- 11A. FletcherF
- 7L. GoochD
- 5J. LowD
- 10M. HarnessF
- 23S. RoughanD
- 1J. LumleyG
- 7Y. ValeryD
- 5D. BernardD
- 6L. CooperD
- 33R. JamesD
- 10B. BannanM
- 16B. MitchellM
- 20K. MorrisonM
- 8C. SlatteryM
- 24H. GrayM
- 9J. LoweF
- 48Mason Paul James BurstowF
- 18Jaden HeskeyM
- 50D. Keillor-DunnF
- 13A. Maynard-BrewerG
- 22G. OtegbayoD
- 30Ernie WeaverD
- 2L. PalmerD
Form going into Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday
Huddersfield
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Burton Albion3 October 2026
Sheffield Wednesday
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Cambridge United3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday
- 3 February 2024Huddersfield 4–0 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
- 7 October 2023Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 HuddersfieldChampionship
- 1 August 2021Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 HuddersfieldLeague Cup
- 17 March 2021Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 HuddersfieldChampionship
- 8 December 2020Huddersfield 2–0 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
Leading scorers: Huddersfield and Sheffield Wednesday
Huddersfield
GoalsAssists
- J. Taylor102
- D. Sanches Fernandes76
Sheffield Wednesday
GoalsAssists
- J. Lowe52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Huddersfield and Sheffield Wednesday drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Huddersfield at 45% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Joe Taylor 46' for Huddersfield, Derensili Sanches Fernandes 68' for Huddersfield, Ibane Bowat (own goal) 88' for Sheffield Wednesday, Jamal Lowe (penalty) 90+8' for Sheffield Wednesday. On expected goals it finished 1.89–1.85.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Huddersfield a 38.4% chance to finish in the top four: 42.3% after a win, 36.7% after a draw, 32.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 36.7%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.
For Sheffield Wednesday the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 24.7% going in: 30.2% after a win, 24.0% after a draw, 21.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 24.0%, 0.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 45% / 27% / 28%: the biggest move is Huddersfield's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Huddersfield win45%▲ +4
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Sheffield Wednesday win28%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.