12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction & result

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Botafogo 1-1 RB Bragantino.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Botafogo, 29% draw, 29% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Botafogo at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
⚽L. Monzon (OG)
42'
•Wallace Yan
44'
Wallace Yan
🔁L. M. Villalba Jaumeout: K. Barria
48'
⚽Vitinhoassist: Alex Telles
56'
60'
🔁I. Pittaout: Eduardo Santos
60'
🔁A. Sant'Annaout: A. Hurtado
Lucas Monzón
65'
🔁Alex Tellesout: Paulinho
67'
Nahuel Ferraresi
70'
Kadir Barría
73'
73'
Tiago Volpi
🔁Danilo Pereiraout: Kauan Toledo
74'
🔁Junior Santosout: Tiquinho Soares
74'
77'
Juninho Capixaba
🔁Vitinhoout: M. Ponte
81'
82'
🔁Lucas Barbosaout: J. Herrera
87'
🔁Fabinhoout: Gabriel
87'
🔁Eric Ramiresout: Matheus Fernandes

Match stats — Botafogo vs RB Bragantino

64%Possession36%
21Shots14
6On target8
5Corners3
1.39xG0.8

Goals against chances

Botafogo1 from 1.39 xGabout what the chances were worth
RB Bragantino1 from 0.80 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Botafogo 4-2-3-1
  • 12Gabriel BatistaG
  • 2VitinhoD
  • 5N. FerraresiD
  • 33L. MonzonD
  • 13Alex TellesD
  • 75HuguinhoM
  • 8Danilo SantosM
  • 77L. M. Villalba JaumeM
  • 10A. MontoroM
  • 7Junior SantosM
  • 90Danilo PereiraF
Substitutes
  • 17WarlesonG
  • 29PaulinhoD
  • 4M. PonteD
  • 3Arthur ChavesD
  • 42Kadu SantosD
  • 25AllanM
  • 88EdenilsonM
  • 91D. AndradeM
  • 59Kauan ToledoM
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
  • 18Tiago VolpiG
  • 23A. Sant'AnnaD
  • 16Gustavo MarquesD
  • 2G. RodriguezD
  • 29Juninho CapixabaD
  • 7Eric RamiresM
  • 5FabinhoM
  • 21Lucas BarbosaM
  • 47Wallace YanM
  • 11Fernando SantosM
  • 9I. PittaF
Substitutes
  • 1CleitonG
  • 51Caue NascimentoD
  • 3Eduardo SantosD
  • 34A. HurtadoD
  • 19BruninhoF
  • 15I. SosaM
  • 6GabrielM
  • 35Matheus FernandesM
  • 57MarcelinhoM
Coach: Mancini Vagner

Form going into Botafogo vs RB Bragantino

Botafogo

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Palmeiras6 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Flamengo30 August 2026
  • L2-3Atletico Paranaense24 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Vitoria16 August 2026
  • D1-1Fluminense9 August 2026

RB Bragantino

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3Bahia5 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Sao Paulo29 August 2026
  • W1-0Gremio23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Atletico Paranaense15 August 2026
  • L0-2Corinthians9 August 2026

What these results say

  • Botafogo did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Botafogo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • RB Bragantino failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • RB Bragantino scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • RB Bragantino conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Botafogo33109144553-839
9RB Bragantino33128134238+444

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Botafogo vs RB Bragantino

  • 21 March 2026RB Bragantino 1–2 BotafogoSerie A
  • 30 August 2025Botafogo 4–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 6 August 2025RB Bragantino 0–1 BotafogoCopa Do Brasil
  • 29 July 2025Botafogo 2–0 RB BragantinoCopa Do Brasil
  • 12 April 2025RB Bragantino 1–0 BotafogoSerie A
  • 26 October 2024RB Bragantino 0–1 BotafogoSerie A

The full Botafogo vs RB Bragantino record →

Leading scorers: Botafogo and RB Bragantino

Botafogo

GoalsAssists

  • Danilo Santos102

RB Bragantino

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 42 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Botafogo and RB Bragantino drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Botafogo at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: L. Monzon (own goal) 30' for RB Bragantino, Vitinho 56' for Botafogo. Sent off: Wallace Yan (RB Bragantino) 44'. On expected goals it finished 1.39–0.80.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.