Sirius vs Degerfors IF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Sirius 2-0 Degerfors IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Sirius, 31% draw, 33% Degerfors IF — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sirius at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sirius vs Degerfors IF
Line-ups
- 34D. CelicG
- 5H. CastegrenD
- 2Mohamed SoumahD
- 4T. AnkerD
- 22O. KrusnellD
- 24V. SvenssonM
- 10M. HeierM
- 6M. LindbergM
- 30Z. VancsaF
- 9J. UnekenF
- 11I. BjerkeboF
- 18A. WikmanM
- 29Ake AnderssonF
- 1I. DiawaraG
- 20V. EkströmD
- 17N. JönssonF
- 21C. NildénM
- 7J. PerssonF
- 15S. SandbergD
- 25O. AdinduF
- 38M. IgonenG
- 16S. OhlssonD
- 2Ahmad FaqaD
- 3Nikolai SkusethD
- 6D. SundgrenD
- 8B. HusseinM
- 4K. KarlssonM
- 23R. DzabicM
- 11D. VukojevićM
- 10N. MilleskogM
- 9K. BouteraF
- 13M. HamiltonM
- 17Arman TaranisF
- 15N. MoroD
- 1W. JakobssonG
- 14L. FritzsonF
- 28J. HernandezD
Form going into Sirius vs Degerfors IF
Sirius
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Vasteras SK FK5 September 2026
- L0-1Malmo FF31 August 2026
- L0-3BK Hacken21 August 2026
- L3-4away to Mjallby AIF15 August 2026
- D2-2IF Brommapojkarna10 August 2026
Degerfors IF
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Halmstad5 September 2026
- L0-2away to IF Elfsborg29 August 2026
- L0-2away to IF Brommapojkarna23 August 2026
- W3-0IFK Goteborg16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Malmo FF9 August 2026
What these results say
- Sirius failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sirius conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 34 | +22 | 55 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sirius vs Degerfors IF
- 4 April 2026Degerfors IF 0–3 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 24 January 2026Sirius 2–1 Degerfors IFFriendlies Clubs
- 21 September 2025Sirius 1–3 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 3 May 2025Degerfors IF 1–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 27 January 2024Sirius 1–1 Degerfors IFFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Sirius and Degerfors IF
Sirius
GoalsAssists
- R. Ure152
- I. Bjerkebo146
Degerfors IF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sirius beat Degerfors IF 2–0. The model had made a win for Sirius its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ahmad Faqa (own goal) 2' for Sirius, Melker Heier 44' for Sirius.
How the call on Sirius v Degerfors IF has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 30% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 36% / 31% / 33%: the biggest move is Sirius's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Sirius win36%▼ −4
- Draw31%▲ +1
- Degerfors IF win33%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.