Benfica vs Academico Viseu Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Benfica 2-2 Academico Viseu.
Before kick-off the model made it 75% Benfica, 15% draw, 10% Academico Viseu — fair odds of 1.33, 6.67 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Benfica at 75%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Benfica vs Academico Viseu
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 24S. SoaresG
- 6A. BahD
- 44T. AraujoD
- 2C. LengletD
- 26S. DahlD
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 5E. BarrenecheaM
- 27Rafa SilvaM
- 10G. SudakovM
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 1A. TrubinG
- 13J. KaminskiM
- 22J. DuranF
- 16ManuM
- 62J. NetoD
- 72AnisioF
- 33Gabriel Indio
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 17A. DedicD
- 98EwertonG
- 75Robinho
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 44R. PereiraD
- 66I. MilioransaD
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 45A. MestanzaM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 31Joao GuilhermeF
- 33Andre ClovisF
- 10A. ZamoraF
- 1M. LavinG
- 58Matheus SampaioG
- 2N. MichelisD
- 6A. CeitilM
- 11D. SteczykF
- 18C. FerreiraM
- 22N. MortimerF
- 21T. DomingosD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
Form going into Benfica vs Academico Viseu
Benfica
All competitions we cover
- W6-1Heart of Midlothian6 August 2026
- W5-0FC St. Gallen30 July 2026
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen23 July 2026
Academico Viseu
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 28 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Benfica and Academico Viseu
Benfica
GoalsAssists
- V. Pavlidis113
- G. Prestianni74
Academico Viseu
GoalsAssists
- André Clóvis51
- S. Messeguem31
- João Guilherme30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Benfica and Academico Viseu drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Benfica at 75% and given a draw 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: V. Pavlidis 10' for Benfica, R. Pereira 55' for Academico Viseu, G. Prestianni 58' for Benfica, Andre Clovis 67' for Academico Viseu. On expected goals it finished 3.11–1.18.