Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 0-1 Arges Pitesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Universitatea Craiova, 25% draw, 25% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Craiova at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti
Line-ups
- 90Răzvan SavaG
- 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
- 28Adrian RusD
- 6Vladimir ScreciuD
- 23Samuel TelesM
- 5Anzor MekvabishviliM
- 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
- 11Nicușor BancuM
- 30David MateiF
- 22Simon ElisorF
- 10Ștefan BaiaramF
- 17Carlos MoraF
- 8Tudor BăluțăM
- 7Steven NsimbaF
- 29Luca BăsceanuM
- 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
- 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
- 1Alexandru MaximG
- 24Nikola StevanovićD
- 18Mihnea RădulescuM
- 34Cătălin CăbuzG
- 6Mario TudoseD
- 15Guilherme GaruttiD
- 3Leard SadriuD
- 27Rober SierraM
- 2Costinel TofanM
- 22Vadim RațăM
- 11Yanis PîrvuM
- 23Florin BorțaM
- 92Taylor LuvamboF
- 99Robert MoldoveanuF
- 16Ionuț RădescuM
- 26Dorinel OanceaD
- 69Oluwatobiloba AlagbeD
- 96Silviu BalaureM
- 19Claudiu MicovschiF
- 31Matteo ȘerbanG
- 33Luca CrăciunG
- 4Evagoras AntoniouD
- 20Patrick DulceaM
Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti
Universitatea Craiova
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to KuPS6 August 2026
- W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti1 August 2026
- D2-2Levski Sofia29 July 2026
- L1-5away to Dinamo Bucuresti25 July 2026
- L0-1away to Levski Sofia22 July 2026
Arges Pitesti
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Csikszereda31 July 2026
- W1-0Petrolul Ploiesti24 July 2026
- L0-2away to FCSB17 July 2026
What these results say
- Universitatea Craiova failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 10 | +24 | 33 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs Arges Pitesti
- 27 April 2026Arges Pitesti 0–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 13 March 2026Universitatea Craiova 0–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 21 November 2025Arges Pitesti 1–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 18 July 2025Universitatea Craiova 3–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 22 March 2025Universitatea Craiova 4–3 Arges PitestiFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Universitatea Craiova and Arges Pitesti
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor90
- A. Al Hamlawi70
Arges Pitesti
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arges Pitesti won 1–0 at Universitatea Craiova. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Craiova at 50% and given a win for Arges Pitesti 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Yanis Pîrvu 7' for Arges Pitesti.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.