30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Petrocub vs Borac Banja Luka UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadionul Zimbru, Hincesti
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Petrocub 3-3 Borac Banja Luka.

Before kick-off the model made it 20% Petrocub, 18% draw, 62% Borac Banja Luka — fair odds of 5.00, 5.56 and 1.61. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Borac Banja Luka 3–0 Petrocub (23 Jul) →

Borac Banja Luka went through 6–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Borac Banja Luka at 62% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Petrocub4%Draw88%Borac Banja Luka8%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽N. Rotaruassist: I. Jardan
13'
⚽P. Popescuassist: S. Platica
19'
50'
⚽S. Savicassist: A. Hiros
⚽N. Rotaruassist: P. Popescu
52'
Marius Iosipoi
55'
56'
⚽A. Hirosassist: M. Jojic
🔁M. Iosipoiout: B. Musteata
58'
62'
🔁D. Hreljaout: A. Roguljic
🔁O. Davidout: M. Platica
63'
🔁S. Platicaout: I. Botnari
63'
Mihail Platica
73'
78'
⚽A. Roguljicassist: S. Savic
79'
🔁S. Savicout: D. Vukovic
79'
🔁A. Hirosout: M. Deket
🔁P. Popescuout: D. Demian
81'
🔁N. Rotaruout: M. Lupan
81'
86'
🔁L. Juricicout: B. Meijers

Line-ups

Petrocub 5-3-2
  • 1S. Smalenea
  • 90I. JardanD
  • 3C. CucosD
  • 44J. Guera DjouD
  • 2V. PascariD
  • 11S. PlaticaD
  • 7M. IosipoiM
  • 24O. DavidM
  • 37D. PuscasM
  • 19N. RotaruF
  • 15P. PopescuF
Substitutes
  • 12C. AvramG
  • 31V. DodonG
  • 5M. PlaticaF
  • 8D. DemianM
  • 10B. MusteataM
  • 13M. CojocaruF
  • 23M. LupanF
  • 25I. BotnariM
  • 27M. SavaF
Coach: Shota Makharadze
Borac Banja Luka 4-3-3
  • 72M. JurkasG
  • 19V. RoganD
  • 30N. JaksicD
  • 24J. CarolinaD
  • 16S. HerreraD
  • 98S. OgrinecM
  • 12A. HirosM
  • 18M. JojicM
  • 11D. HreljaM
  • 7L. JuricicF
  • 77S. SavicM
Substitutes
  • 1D. SiskovskiG
  • 21N. CetkovicG
  • 2B. MeijersD
  • 6S. SanicaninD
  • 10D. VukovicM
  • 14P. DjajicF
  • 20E. RidjanD
  • 23S. VranjesM
  • 44A. RoguljicM
Coach: Vinko Marinovic

Form going into Petrocub vs Borac Banja Luka

Petrocub

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Borac Banja Luka23 July 2026

Borac Banja Luka

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Petrocub23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Petrocub vs Borac Banja Luka

  • 23 July 2026Borac Banja Luka 3–0 PetrocubUEFA Europa Conference League

The result against the call

Petrocub and Borac Banja Luka drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Borac Banja Luka at 62% and given a draw 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: N. Rotaru 13' for Petrocub, P. Popescu 19' for Petrocub, S. Savic 50' for Borac Banja Luka, N. Rotaru 52' for Petrocub, A. Hiros 56' for Borac Banja Luka, A. Roguljic 78' for Borac Banja Luka.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.