30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Petrocub vs Borac Banja Luka UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadionul Zimbru, Hincesti
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Petrocub 3-3 Borac Banja Luka.

Before kick-off the model made it 20% Petrocub, 18% draw, 62% Borac Banja Luka — fair odds of 5.00, 5.56 and 1.61. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Borac Banja Luka at 62% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Petrocub4%Draw88%Borac Banja Luka8%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽N. Rotaruassist: I. Jardan
13'
⚽P. Popescuassist: S. Platica
19'
50'
⚽S. Savicassist: A. Hiros
⚽N. Rotaruassist: P. Popescu
52'
Marius Iosipoi
55'
56'
⚽A. Hirosassist: M. Jojic
🔁M. Iosipoiout: B. Musteata
58'
62'
🔁D. Hreljaout: A. Roguljic
🔁O. Davidout: M. Platica
63'
🔁S. Platicaout: I. Botnari
63'
Mihail Platica
73'
78'
⚽A. Roguljicassist: S. Savic
79'
🔁S. Savicout: D. Vukovic
79'
🔁A. Hirosout: M. Deket
🔁P. Popescuout: D. Demian
81'
🔁N. Rotaruout: M. Lupan
81'
86'
🔁L. Juricicout: B. Meijers

Line-ups

Petrocub 5-3-2
  • 1S. Smalenea
  • 90I. JardanD
  • 3C. CucosD
  • 44J. Guera DjouD
  • 2V. PascariD
  • 11S. PlaticaD
  • 7M. IosipoiM
  • 24O. DavidM
  • 37D. PuscasM
  • 19N. RotaruF
  • 15P. PopescuF
Substitutes
  • 12C. AvramG
  • 31V. DodonG
  • 5M. PlaticaF
  • 8D. DemianM
  • 10B. MusteataM
  • 13M. CojocaruF
  • 23M. LupanF
  • 25I. BotnariM
  • 27M. SavaF
Coach: Shota Makharadze
Borac Banja Luka 4-3-3
  • 72M. JurkasG
  • 19V. RoganD
  • 30N. JaksicD
  • 24J. CarolinaD
  • 16S. HerreraD
  • 98S. OgrinecM
  • 12A. HirosM
  • 18M. JojicM
  • 11D. HreljaM
  • 7L. JuricicF
  • 77S. SavicM
Substitutes
  • 1D. SiskovskiG
  • 21N. CetkovicG
  • 2B. MeijersD
  • 6S. SanicaninD
  • 10D. VukovicM
  • 14P. DjajicF
  • 20E. RidjanD
  • 23S. VranjesM
  • 44A. RoguljicM
Coach: Vinko Marinovic

Form going into Petrocub vs Borac Banja Luka

Petrocub

  • L0-3away to Borac Banja Luka23 July 2026

Borac Banja Luka

  • W3-0Petrocub23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Petrocub vs Borac Banja Luka

  • 30 July 2026Petrocub 3–2 Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Borac Banja Luka 3–0 PetrocubUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.