Instituto Cordoba vs Platense Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Instituto Cordoba 2-1 Platense.
Before kick-off the model made it 82% Instituto Cordoba, 13% draw, 5% Platense — fair odds of 1.22, 7.69 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Instituto Cordoba at 82% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Instituto Cordoba vs Platense
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Marcos LedesmaG
- 30Jonathan GalvánD
- 26Leonel MosevichD
- 6Fernando AlarcónD
- 44Giuliano CeratoM
- 55Gustavo AbregúM
- 15Matías GallardoM
- 3Diego Alejandro SosaM
- 20Jhon CórdobaF
- 10Alex LunaF
- 17Matías TisseraF
- 21Jeremías LázaroM
- 7Nicolás GuerraF
- 11Matías FonsecaF
- 35Emanuel SittaroG
- 32Agustín BravoD
- 23Juan MeliD
- 2Hernán de la FuenteD
- 22Agustín MassaccesiD
- 90Pedro BasterM
- 30Juan CozzaniG
- 4Agustín LagosD
- 13Ignacio VazquezD
- 31Víctor CuestaD
- 3Tomás Ariel SilvaD
- 24Martín BarriosM
- 5Ivan GómezM
- 18Bautista MerliniM
- 7Guido MaineroF
- 23Leonardo HerediaF
- 43Nicolás RetamarF
- 25Juan Ignacio SaboridoD
- 10Franco ZapiolaM
- 99Gonzalo LencinaF
- 19Héctor BobadillaF
- 33Juan GautoF
- 22Nicolás SumavilG
- 34Mateo MendiaD
- 32Santiago QuirosD
- 6Eugenio RaggioD
Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs Platense
Instituto Cordoba
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield24 July 2026
Platense
- D2-2Union Santa Fe25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs Platense
- 30 July 2026Instituto Cordoba 2–1 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 January 2026Platense 2–1 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 August 2025Instituto Cordoba 1–1 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 February 2025Platense 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 August 2024Instituto Cordoba 2–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 April 2023Platense 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina