Instituto Cordoba vs Platense Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Instituto Cordoba 2-1 Platense.
Before kick-off the model made it 82% Instituto Cordoba, 13% draw, 5% Platense — fair odds of 1.22, 7.69 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Instituto Cordoba at 82% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Instituto Cordoba vs Platense
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Marcos LedesmaG
- 30Jonathan GalvánD
- 26Leonel MosevichD
- 6Fernando AlarcónD
- 44Giuliano CeratoM
- 55Gustavo AbregúM
- 15Matías GallardoM
- 3Diego Alejandro SosaM
- 20Jhon CórdobaF
- 10Alex LunaF
- 17Matías TisseraF
- 21Jeremías LázaroM
- 7Nicolás GuerraF
- 11Matías FonsecaF
- 35Emanuel SittaroG
- 32Agustín BravoD
- 23Juan MeliD
- 2Hernán de la FuenteD
- 22Agustín MassaccesiD
- 90Pedro BasterM
- 30Juan CozzaniG
- 4Agustín LagosD
- 13Ignacio VazquezD
- 31Víctor CuestaD
- 3Tomás Ariel SilvaD
- 24Martín BarriosM
- 5Ivan GómezM
- 18Bautista MerliniM
- 7Guido MaineroF
- 23Leonardo HerediaF
- 43Nicolás RetamarF
- 25Juan Ignacio SaboridoD
- 10Franco ZapiolaM
- 99Gonzalo LencinaF
- 19Héctor BobadillaF
- 33Juan GautoF
- 22Nicolás SumavilG
- 34Mateo MendiaD
- 32Santiago QuirosD
- 6Eugenio RaggioD
Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs Platense
Instituto Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield24 July 2026
Platense
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Union Santa Fe25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 32 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs Platense
- 26 January 2026Platense 2–1 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 August 2025Instituto Cordoba 1–1 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 February 2025Platense 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 August 2024Instituto Cordoba 2–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 April 2023Platense 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Instituto Cordoba and Platense
Instituto Cordoba
GoalsAssists
- A. Luna73
Platense
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Instituto Cordoba beat Platense 2–1. The model had made a win for Instituto Cordoba its most likely outcome, at 82%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: G. Cerato 14' for Instituto Cordoba, M. Tissera 55' for Instituto Cordoba, H. Bobadilla 90+4' for Platense. On expected goals it finished 2.02–0.78.