19 September 2026, 23:00 UTC

Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Liga MX prediction & result

Estadio Libertad Financiera
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Atletico San Luis 3-1 Necaxa.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Atletico San Luis, 30% draw, 29% Necaxa — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Atletico San Luis at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽Julián Carranzaassist: Javier Ruiz
⚽Felipe Moraassist: David Rodriguez
27'
⚽Christopher Andrade (OG)
54'
59'
🔁Kevin Anteout: Miguel Rodriguez
60'
🔁Javier Ruizout: Matias Espindola
60'
🔁Agustin Oliverosout: Mauro Zaleta
🔁Felipe Moraout: Johan Caicedo
72'
🔁Rafael Llorenteout: Leonardo Flores
78'
🔁David Rodriguezout: Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
78'
78'
🔁Juan Valenciaout: Juan Torres
80'
Pedro Pedraza
⚽Eduardo Aguila
81'
87'
🔁Alexis Peñaout: Danny Leyva
🔁Anderson Duarteout: Roberto Meraz
90'
🔁Sebastien Salles-lamongeout: Juanpe
90'
Aldo Cruz
90+5'

Match stats — Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa

59%Possession41%
13Shots10
5On target3
2Corners5

Line-ups

Atletico San Luis 3-4-2-1
  • 25M. G. LajudG
  • 30B. GalindoD
  • 31E. AguilaD
  • 18A. CruzD
  • 2R. TorresM
  • 10S. Salles-LamongeM
  • 21O. MaciasM
  • 17A. DuarteM
  • 11D. RodriguezM
  • 22R. LlorenteM
  • 99F. MoraF
Substitutes
  • 23C. I. Lopez De AlbaG
  • 6JuanpeD
  • 26S. PerezM
  • 5R. MerazM
  • 7B. GaldamesM
  • 13J. CaicedoM
  • 14M. GarciaM
  • 19S. MunozF
  • 8R. NajeraM
Coach: Raul Chabrand
Necaxa 4-1-4-1
  • 1C. AndradeG
  • 33R. MartinezD
  • 4A. PenaD
  • 5NavesD
  • 3A. OliverosD
  • 16P. PedrazaM
  • 7K. RoseroM
  • 9J. CarranzaM
  • 8L. FaravelliM
  • 10J. RuizM
  • 90J. ValenciaF
Substitutes
  • 181J. OrantesG
  • 88C. VargasD
  • 15D. OchoaD
  • 2E. MartinezD
  • 14M. ZaletaM
  • 11J. P. Torres PatinoM
  • 13O. GonzalezM
  • 6D. LeyvaM
  • 21M. EspindolaM
Coach: Martin Varini

Form going into Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa

Atletico San Luis

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Leon15 September 2026
  • L0-3Guadalajara Chivas5 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Monterrey31 August 2026
  • D1-1CF Pachuca23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Club America16 August 2026

Necaxa

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Puebla12 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Tigres UANL6 September 2026
  • L1-3Cruz Azul29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Pumas UNAM24 August 2026
  • L1-2Leon18 August 2026

What these results say

  • Atletico San Luis conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Atletico San Luis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Necaxa did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Necaxa conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Necaxa scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Atletico San Luis145451922-319
17Necaxa142481627-1110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa

  • 7 February 2026Necaxa 4–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
  • 23 December 2025Necaxa 2–0 Atletico San LuisFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 October 2025Atletico San Luis 3–4 NecaxaLiga MX
  • 25 January 2025Atletico San Luis 0–3 NecaxaLiga MX
  • 7 November 2024Necaxa 1–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
  • 9 March 2024Necaxa 3–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX

The full Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa record →

Leading scorers: Atletico San Luis and Necaxa

Atletico San Luis

No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Necaxa

GoalsAssists

  • J. Carranza72

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Atletico San Luis beat Necaxa 3–1. The model had made a win for Atletico San Luis its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Julián Carranza 10' for Necaxa, Felipe Mora 27' for Atletico San Luis, Christopher Andrade (own goal) 54' for Atletico San Luis, Eduardo Aguila 81' for Atletico San Luis.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.