Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Internacional.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Atletico Paranaense, 24% draw, 24% Internacional — fair odds of 1.92, 4.17 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Paranaense at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23SantosG
- 22Carlos TeránD
- 33Juan Felipe AguirreD
- 37Lucas EsquivelD
- 12GilbertoM
- 16JádsonM
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 26ClaudinhoM
- 21LeozinhoF
- 7Steven MendozaF
- 9Kevin ViverosF
- 8João CruzM
- 29Gastón BenavídezD
- 11IsaacF
- 27Juan PortillaM
- 42Matheus SoaresG
- 6Leonardo DerikD
- 2Gilberto JuniorD
- 3LéoD
- 53DuduM
- 12AnthoniG
- 4Félix TorresD
- 3Guillermo MaripánD
- 18Jose JuninhoD
- 28VitinhoM
- 15Bruno GomesM
- 5Rodrigo VillagraM
- 6Matheus BahiaM
- 7Johan CarboneroF
- 26Alexandro BernabeiF
- 9AlerrandroF
- 35Braian AguirreD
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 49João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira LoF
- 23Matheus CunhaG
- 25Gabriel MercadoD
- 53Luiz FelipeD
- 46Pedro KauãD
- 31AllexM
Form going into Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Sao Paulo23 July 2026
Internacional
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Cruzeiro23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 40 | +10 | 54 |
| 17 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 35 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional
- 28 January 2026Internacional 0–1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
- 11 August 2024Internacional 2–2 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
- 21 April 2024Atletico Paranaense 1–0 InternacionalSerie A
- 21 September 2023Atletico Paranaense 2–1 InternacionalSerie A
- 10 May 2023Internacional 0–2 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
- 6 November 2022Internacional 2–0 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
Leading scorers: Atletico Paranaense and Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
GoalsAssists
- K. Viveros213
Internacional
GoalsAssists
- J. Carbonero74
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atletico Paranaense beat Internacional 2–0. The model had made a win for Atletico Paranaense its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Leozinho 45+1' for Atletico Paranaense, K. Viveros 60' for Atletico Paranaense. On expected goals it finished 2.92–1.15.